Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · 17/08, 02:00
Prediction: Aguada Santeros vs Vaqueros de Bayamon
Team pages: Aguada Santeros · Vaqueros de Bayamon
Prediction summary
Estimated points
177.9Total
Aguada Santeros88.4
Vaqueros de Bayamon89.5
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Aguada Santeros
Vaqueros de Bayamon
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Aguada Santeros
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Vaqueros de Bayamon
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguada Santeros
2–4
Vaqueros de Bayamon
(6 last)
- Vaqueros de Bayamon93-95Aguada Santeros
- Aguada Santeros86-87Vaqueros de Bayamon
- Vaqueros de Bayamon91-75Aguada Santeros
- Aguada Santeros88-70Vaqueros de Bayamon
- Vaqueros de Bayamon96-79Aguada Santeros
- Vaqueros de Bayamon94-86Aguada Santeros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aguada Santeros 1527 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 1541
| Aguada Santeros | Vaqueros de Bayamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
177.9 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +4.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points177.9Aguada Santeros 88.4 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 89.5
Match keys
- H2H favours Vaqueros de Bayamon: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Aguada Santeros | Vaqueros de Bayamon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.6 / 89.5 | 92.9 / 86 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91.2 / 93.2 | 97.8 / 84.6 |
| Est. result | 88 | 90 |
Est. total177.9
Line O/U173.5
Diff.4.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguada Santeros 2–0–4 Vaqueros de Bayamon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 93-95 | Aguada Santeros |
| 13/08/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Aguada Santeros | 86-87 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
| 10/08/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 91-75 | Aguada Santeros |
| 08/04/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Aguada Santeros | 88-70 | Vaqueros de Bayamon |
| 03/04/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 96-79 | Aguada Santeros |
| 12/04/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 94-86 | Aguada Santeros |
Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · BSN 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criollos de Caguas | 34 | 23 | 11 | 3421 | 3225 | 0 |
| 2 | Vaqueros de Bayamon | 34 | 22 | 12 | 3094 | 2860 | 0 |
| 3 | Santurce | 34 | 19 | 15 | 3229 | 3129 | 0 |
| 4 | Gigantes Carolina | 34 | 18 | 16 | 3140 | 3160 | 0 |
| 5 | Manati | 34 | 15 | 19 | 3149 | 3144 | 0 |
| 6 | Guaynabo | 34 | 14 | 20 | 3100 | 3273 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguada Santeros
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
95-93 | W |
| 13/08 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
86-87 | L |
| 10/08 | Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
75-91 | L |
| 05/08 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
95-89 | W |
| 03/08 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
105-106 | L |
| 01/08 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
96-89 | W |
| 30/07 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
100-89 | W |
| 28/07 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
80-87 | L |
| 26/07 | Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
93-70 | W |
| 20/07 | Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
101-94 | W |
Vaqueros de Bayamon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
93-95 | L |
| 13/08 | Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
87-86 | W |
| 10/08 | Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
91-75 | W |
| 04/08 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
96-88 | W |
| 02/08 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
122-79 | W |
| 31/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
97-111 | L |
| 29/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
106-83 | W |
| 27/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
69-88 | L |
| 25/07 | Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
78-74 | W |
| 18/07 | Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional |
90-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguada Santeros vs Vaqueros de Bayamon?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Aguada Santeros 47% · Vaqueros de Bayamon 53%).
How many points are expected in Aguada Santeros vs Vaqueros de Bayamon?
The model estimates 177.9 total points (Aguada Santeros 88.4 · Vaqueros de Bayamon 89.5).