Basketball · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · 15/08, 02:00

Prediction: Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Aguada Santeros

Team pages: Vaqueros de Bayamon · Aguada Santeros

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.5Total

Vaqueros de Bayamon90.6

Aguada Santeros84.8

1X2

66% 34%

Vaqueros de Bayamon Aguada Santeros

Recent form · 10 last

Vaqueros de Bayamon 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Aguada Santeros 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Vaqueros de Bayamon 5–1 Aguada Santeros (6 last)

Aguada Santeros86-87Vaqueros de Bayamon
Vaqueros de Bayamon91-75Aguada Santeros
Aguada Santeros88-70Vaqueros de Bayamon
Vaqueros de Bayamon96-79Aguada Santeros
Vaqueros de Bayamon94-86Aguada Santeros
Aguada Santeros58-62Vaqueros de Bayamon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vaqueros de Bayamon 1568 · Aguada Santeros 1522

	Vaqueros de Bayamon	Aguada Santeros
Our model	69%	31%
Market	65%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 175.5 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points175.5Vaqueros de Bayamon 90.6 · Aguada Santeros 84.8

Match keys

Vaqueros de Bayamon is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Vaqueros de Bayamon: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vaqueros de Bayamon	Aguada Santeros
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.8 / 83.3	92.6 / 89.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98.6 / 87.8	91.4 / 92.4
Est. result	91	85

Est. total175.5

Line O/U173.5

Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.43

22.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5)1.83

2 (+5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 4.55 · Est. total: 178.05

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 04:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.43▲	Pinn 1.51 ★
2	2.90 → 2.65▼	Bet365 2.65

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 9.6%

Time*	1	2
10:42 +4’	1.36	2.90
18:45 +1’	1.48▲	2.55▼
00:28 +18’	1.74▲	1.95▼
03:08 +37’	1.53▼	2.40▲
04:41 +5’	1.43▼	2.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
06:45	1.16	3.92
08:45 +1’	1.20▲	3.55▼
09:45 +1’	1.23▲	3.31▼
11:42 +4’	1.32▲	2.87▼
12:42 +4’	1.38▲	2.65▼
14:44 +1’	1.41▲	2.55▼
15:44 +1’	1.49▲	2.35▼
16:44 +1’	1.43▼	2.48▲
17:45 +1’	1.40▼	2.58▲
19:43 +4’	1.47▲	2.39▼
20:42 +5’	1.44▼	2.47▲
22:45 +1’	1.51▲	2.30▼
23:45 +1’	1.47▼	2.40▲
00:45	1.50▲	2.32▼
02:44 +1’	1.41▼	2.54▲
04:45 +1’	1.51▲	2.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 173.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vaqueros de Bayamon 5–0–1 Aguada Santeros

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/08/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Aguada Santeros	86-87	Vaqueros de Bayamon
10/08/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Vaqueros de Bayamon	91-75	Aguada Santeros
08/04/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Aguada Santeros	88-70	Vaqueros de Bayamon
03/04/26 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Vaqueros de Bayamon	96-79	Aguada Santeros
12/04/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Vaqueros de Bayamon	94-86	Aguada Santeros
23/03/25 Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	Aguada Santeros	58-62	Vaqueros de Bayamon

Standings · Puerto Rico Superior Nacional · BSN 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Criollos de Caguas	34	23	11	3421	3225
2	Vaqueros de Bayamon	34	22	12	3094	2860
3	Santurce	34	19	15	3229	3129
4	Gigantes Carolina	34	18	16	3140	3160
5	Manati	34	15	19	3149	3144
6	Guaynabo	34	14	20	3100	3273

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vaqueros de Bayamon

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/08	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	87-86	W
10/08	Aguada Santeros Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	91-75	W
04/08	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	96-88	W
02/08	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	122-79	W
31/07	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	97-111	L
29/07	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	106-83	W
27/07	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	69-88	L
25/07	Criollos de Caguas Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	78-74	W
18/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	90-81	W
16/07	Gigantes Carolina Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	72-68	W

Aguada Santeros

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/08	Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	86-87	L
10/08	Vaqueros de Bayamon Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	75-91	L
05/08	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	95-89	W
03/08	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	105-106	L
01/08	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	96-89	W
30/07	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	100-89	W
28/07	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	80-87	L
26/07	Ponce Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	93-70	W
20/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	101-94	W
18/07	Arecibo Puerto Rico Superior Nacional	95-92	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Aguada Santeros?

Our model gives 66% to Vaqueros de Bayamon.

How many points are expected in Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Aguada Santeros?

The model estimates 175.5 total points (Vaqueros de Bayamon 90.6 · Aguada Santeros 84.8).