Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 01/10, 20:00

Prediction: Jena vs SC Vechta

Team pages: Jena · SC Vechta

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.6Total

Jena83.3

SC Vechta87.2

1X2

39% 61%

Jena SC Vechta

Recent form · 10 last

Jena 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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SC Vechta 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jena 2–4 SC Vechta (6 last)

SC Vechta101-64Jena
Jena95-78SC Vechta
Jena72-80SC Vechta
SC Vechta111-65Jena
SC Vechta83-88Jena
Jena81-82SC Vechta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jena 1446 · SC Vechta 1539

	Jena	SC Vechta
Our model	50%	50%
Market	36%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 170.6 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.6Jena 83.3 · SC Vechta 87.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Vechta (rating 1446 vs 1539).
H2H favours SC Vechta: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Jena	SC Vechta
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.3 / 85.7	88.7 / 90.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.4 / 85.2	81.4 / 93.2
Est. result	83	87

Est. total170.6

Line O/U169.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.87

2 (-4.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.87

Under 169.51.87

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 171.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	2
17:42 +6’	2.60	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jena 2–0–4 SC Vechta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	SC Vechta	101-64	Jena
25/01/26 Germany Bundesliga	Jena	95-78	SC Vechta
22/01/23 Germany Pro A	Jena	72-80	SC Vechta
14/01/23 Germany Pro A	SC Vechta	111-65	Jena
11/04/22 Germany Pro A	SC Vechta	83-88	Jena
02/01/22 Germany Pro A	Jena	81-82	SC Vechta

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oldenburg	3	3	0	248	223	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	203	133	4
3	Braunschweig	2	2	0	199	189	4
4	Trier	3	2	1	311	281	4
5	Ratiopharm Ulm	3	2	1	246	245	4
6	Alba Berlin	3	2	1	244	260	4
7	Ludwigsburg	3	2	1	261	260	4
8	Telekom Bonn	3	2	1	253	250	4
9	S.Oliver Wurzburg	2	1	1	158	144	2
10	Fraport Skyliners	2	1	1	176	175	2
11	Hamburg Towers	3	1	2	240	261	2
12	Rostock Seawolves	3	1	2	262	256	2
13	Brose Bamberg	3	1	2	276	278	2
14	Syntainics MBC	3	1	2	230	235	2
15	Chemnitz 99	3	1	2	266	276	2
16	Jena	2	0	2	147	175	0
17	SC Vechta	2	0	2	148	201	0
18	Phoenix Hagen	3	0	3	263	289	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jena	SC Vechta
Trier	85-98 L	111-83 W
Alba Berlin	65-83 L	89-98 L
Heidelberg Academics	81-79 W	103-89 W
Rostock Seawolves	79-89 L	78-90 L
Brose Bamberg	75-81 L	67-108 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Vechta (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jena

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Trier Germany Bundesliga	85-98	L
25/09	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	62-77	L
10/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	65-83	L
07/05	Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga	81-79	W
02/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	79-89	L
25/04	Trier Germany Bundesliga	102-94	W
18/04	Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga	73-76	L
14/04	Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga	82-93	L
11/04	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	69-87	L
06/04	Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga	75-81	L

SC Vechta

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga	81-93	L
24/09	Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga	67-108	L
27/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	89-98	L
24/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	79-85	L
22/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	91-82	W
19/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	85-90	L
17/05	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	103-89	W
12/05	Trier Germany Bundesliga	111-83	W
10/05	Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga	103-89	W
08/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	78-90	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jena vs SC Vechta?

Our model gives 61% to SC Vechta.

How many points are expected in Jena vs SC Vechta?

The model estimates 170.6 total points (Jena 83.3 · SC Vechta 87.2).