Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: Trier vs Alba Berlin
Team pages: Trier · Alba Berlin
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.1Total
Trier89.5
Alba Berlin85.6
1X2
Trier
Alba Berlin
Recent form · 10 last
Trier
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Alba Berlin
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trier
1–3
Alba Berlin
(4 last)
- Trier92-99Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin92-97Trier
- Alba Berlin86-83Trier
- Trier54-91Alba Berlin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trier 1490 · Alba Berlin 1558
| Trier | Alba Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.1 points · Bet365 line 182.5 · -7.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.1Trier 89.5 · Alba Berlin 85.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Berlin (rating 1490 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Alba Berlin: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trier | Alba Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.6 / 91.1 | 84.2 / 83.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.4 / 92 | 82.2 / 87.8 |
| Est. result | 90 | 86 |
Est. total175.1
Line O/U182.5
Diff.7.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trier 1–0–3 Alba Berlin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Germany Bundesliga | Trier | 92-99 | Alba Berlin |
| 03/10/25 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 92-97 | Trier |
| 14/03/15 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 86-83 | Trier |
| 02/11/14 Germany Bundesliga | Trier | 54-91 | Alba Berlin |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 193 | 6 |
| 2 | Braunschweig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 292 | 276 | 6 |
| 3 | Trier | 4 | 3 | 1 | 405 | 361 | 6 |
| 4 | Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 336 | 6 |
| 5 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 220 | 4 |
| 6 | Fraport Skyliners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 263 | 4 |
| 7 | Syntainics MBC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 307 | 4 |
| 8 | Ludwigsburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 341 | 354 | 4 |
| 9 | Telekom Bonn | 4 | 2 | 2 | 329 | 333 | 4 |
| 10 | Brose Bamberg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 374 | 361 | 4 |
| 11 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 4 | 2 | 2 | 318 | 334 | 4 |
| 12 | Rostock Seawolves | 4 | 2 | 2 | 353 | 340 | 4 |
| 13 | Jena | 4 | 2 | 2 | 308 | 322 | 4 |
| 14 | Alba Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 327 | 358 | 4 |
| 15 | Hamburg Towers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 324 | 352 | 2 |
| 16 | Chemnitz 99 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 342 | 358 | 2 |
| 17 | Phoenix Hagen | 4 | 0 | 4 | 351 | 382 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Vechta | 4 | 0 | 4 | 306 | 373 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trier
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga |
94-80 | W |
| 27/09 | Jena Germany Bundesliga |
98-85 | W |
| 25/09 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
106-80 | W |
| 19/09 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
107-116 | L |
| 23/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
62-99 | L |
| 19/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
65-92 | L |
| 17/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
80-101 | L |
| 14/05 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
76-69 | W |
| 12/05 | SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga |
83-111 | L |
| 10/05 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
85-78 | W |
Alba Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
83-98 | L |
| 26/09 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
61-95 | L |
| 24/09 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
94-83 | W |
| 18/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
89-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
84-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
71-61 | W |
| 17/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
83-91 | L |
| 14/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
86-79 | W |
| 12/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
94-102 | L |
| 09/06 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
97-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trier vs Alba Berlin?
Our model gives 61% to Trier.
How many points are expected in Trier vs Alba Berlin?
The model estimates 175.1 total points (Trier 89.5 · Alba Berlin 85.6).