Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 08/11, 16:30
Prediction: Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg
Team pages: Ludwigsburg · Oldenburg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.2Total
Ludwigsburg83.6
Oldenburg78.6
1X2
Ludwigsburg
Oldenburg
Markets
Under 165.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Ludwigsburg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Oldenburg
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ludwigsburg
2–4
Oldenburg
(6 last)
- Oldenburg102-88Ludwigsburg
- Ludwigsburg65-59Oldenburg
- Ludwigsburg66-79Oldenburg
- Oldenburg70-64Ludwigsburg
- Oldenburg91-85Ludwigsburg
- Ludwigsburg104-80Oldenburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ludwigsburg 1487 · Oldenburg 1488
| Ludwigsburg | Oldenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.2 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -3.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.2Ludwigsburg 83.6 · Oldenburg 78.6
Over / Under 165.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~160 pts · strength 6
Match keys
- H2H favours Oldenburg: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ludwigsburg | Oldenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.7 / 86.6 | 77.9 / 84 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.4 / 90 | 69.6 / 87 |
| Est. result | 84 | 79 |
Est. total162.2
Line O/U165.5
Diff.3.3
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludwigsburg 2–0–4 Oldenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 102-88 | Ludwigsburg |
| 08/11/25 Germany Bundesliga | Ludwigsburg | 65-59 | Oldenburg |
| 22/03/25 Germany Bundesliga | Ludwigsburg | 66-79 | Oldenburg |
| 05/01/25 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 70-64 | Ludwigsburg |
| 27/01/24 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 91-85 | Ludwigsburg |
| 27/12/23 Germany Bundesliga | Ludwigsburg | 104-80 | Oldenburg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 5 | 1 | 566 | 422 | 10 |
| 2 | Trier | 6 | 5 | 1 | 597 | 524 | 10 |
| 3 | Syntainics MBC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 616 | 568 | 10 |
| 4 | Fraport Skyliners | 5 | 4 | 1 | 451 | 423 | 8 |
| 5 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 497 | 481 | 8 |
| 6 | Ludwigsburg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 610 | 614 | 8 |
| 7 | Rostock Seawolves | 7 | 4 | 3 | 621 | 572 | 8 |
| 8 | Brose Bamberg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 616 | 594 | 8 |
| 9 | Telekom Bonn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 607 | 573 | 8 |
| 10 | Braunschweig | 6 | 3 | 3 | 535 | 567 | 6 |
| 11 | Alba Berlin | 7 | 3 | 4 | 588 | 630 | 6 |
| 12 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 7 | 3 | 4 | 573 | 594 | 6 |
| 13 | Oldenburg | 7 | 3 | 4 | 521 | 584 | 6 |
| 14 | Jena | 7 | 2 | 5 | 536 | 618 | 4 |
| 15 | SC Vechta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 591 | 636 | 4 |
| 16 | Chemnitz 99 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 607 | 621 | 4 |
| 17 | Phoenix Hagen | 7 | 2 | 5 | 600 | 633 | 4 |
| 18 | Hamburg Towers | 7 | 1 | 6 | 568 | 646 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ludwigsburg | Oldenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig | 107-98 W | 93-84 W |
| Trier | 80-94 L | 98-95 W |
| Brose Bamberg | 103-96 W | 70-80 L |
| Ratiopharm Ulm | 77-86 L | 65-81 L |
| S.Oliver Wurzburg | 58-75 L | 77-68 W |
| Bayern Munich | 78-86 L | 60-113 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ludwigsburg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ludwigsburg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
78-94 | L |
| 24/10 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
84-68 | W |
| 11/10 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
107-98 | W |
| 04/10 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
80-94 | L |
| 26/09 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
103-96 | W |
| 24/09 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
81-78 | W |
| 20/09 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
77-86 | L |
| 12/05 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
71-91 | L |
| 10/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
58-75 | L |
| 07/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
78-86 | L |
Oldenburg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
65-81 | L |
| 23/10 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
70-80 | L |
| 10/10 | Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga |
78-87 | L |
| 04/10 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
60-113 | L |
| 27/09 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
75-74 | W |
| 25/09 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
77-68 | W |
| 20/09 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
96-81 | W |
| 10/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
67-77 | L |
| 08/05 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
93-84 | W |
| 02/05 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
98-95 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg?
Our model gives 64% to Ludwigsburg.
How many points are expected in Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg?
The model estimates 162.2 total points (Ludwigsburg 83.6 · Oldenburg 78.6).
Over or under 165.5 points?
Recent history points to under 165.5 points (65%).