Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 14/11, 20:00
Prediction: Oldenburg vs Alba Berlin
Team pages: Oldenburg · Alba Berlin
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.4Total
Oldenburg78.4
Alba Berlin83
1X2
Oldenburg
Alba Berlin
Recent form · 10 last
Oldenburg
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Alba Berlin
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oldenburg
3–3
Alba Berlin
(6 last)
- Alba Berlin79-81Oldenburg
- Alba Berlin98-78Oldenburg
- Oldenburg76-73Alba Berlin
- Oldenburg97-92Alba Berlin
- Alba Berlin105-70Oldenburg
- Alba Berlin85-67Oldenburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oldenburg 1489 · Alba Berlin 1554
| Oldenburg | Alba Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 33% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.4 points · Bet365 line 165 · -3.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.4Oldenburg 78.4 · Alba Berlin 83
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Berlin (rating 1489 vs 1554).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Oldenburg | Alba Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.5 / 81.7 | 84.5 / 84.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69.4 / 86.6 | 89.2 / 88.4 |
| Est. result | 78 | 83 |
Est. total161.4
Line O/U165
Diff.3.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oldenburg 3–0–3 Alba Berlin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 79-81 | Oldenburg |
| 21/02/26 Germany Cup | Alba Berlin | 98-78 | Oldenburg |
| 04/01/26 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 76-73 | Alba Berlin |
| 27/01/25 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 97-92 | Alba Berlin |
| 28/09/24 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 105-70 | Oldenburg |
| 03/03/24 Germany Bundesliga | Alba Berlin | 85-67 | Oldenburg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 1 | 768 | 561 | 14 |
| 2 | Trier | 7 | 6 | 1 | 689 | 603 | 12 |
| 3 | Syntainics MBC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 693 | 641 | 12 |
| 4 | Rostock Seawolves | 8 | 5 | 3 | 718 | 659 | 10 |
| 5 | Telekom Bonn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 704 | 660 | 10 |
| 6 | Fraport Skyliners | 6 | 4 | 2 | 524 | 500 | 8 |
| 7 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 570 | 575 | 8 |
| 8 | Brose Bamberg | 8 | 4 | 4 | 695 | 686 | 8 |
| 9 | Ludwigsburg | 8 | 4 | 4 | 682 | 688 | 8 |
| 10 | Oldenburg | 8 | 4 | 4 | 595 | 656 | 8 |
| 11 | Alba Berlin | 8 | 4 | 4 | 690 | 702 | 8 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 8 | 3 | 5 | 688 | 772 | 6 |
| 13 | SC Vechta | 8 | 3 | 5 | 690 | 726 | 6 |
| 14 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 8 | 3 | 5 | 660 | 691 | 6 |
| 15 | Hamburg Towers | 8 | 2 | 6 | 659 | 733 | 4 |
| 16 | Jena | 8 | 2 | 6 | 623 | 709 | 4 |
| 17 | Chemnitz 99 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 697 | 720 | 4 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 8 | 2 | 6 | 672 | 735 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oldenburg | Alba Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Ratiopharm Ulm | 65-81 L | 98-82 W |
| Brose Bamberg | 70-80 L | 83-98 L |
| Phoenix Hagen | 78-87 L | 102-72 W |
| Bayern Munich | 60-113 L | 61-95 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alba Berlin (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oldenburg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga |
74-72 | W |
| 31/10 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
65-81 | L |
| 23/10 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
70-80 | L |
| 10/10 | Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga |
78-87 | L |
| 04/10 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
60-113 | L |
| 27/09 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
75-74 | W |
| 25/09 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
77-68 | W |
| 20/09 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
96-81 | W |
| 10/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
67-77 | L |
| 08/05 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
93-84 | W |
Alba Berlin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga |
102-72 | W |
| 01/11 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
88-95 | L |
| 25/10 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
98-82 | W |
| 10/10 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
75-95 | L |
| 03/10 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
83-98 | L |
| 26/09 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
61-95 | L |
| 24/09 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
94-83 | W |
| 18/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
89-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
84-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
71-61 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oldenburg vs Alba Berlin?
Our model gives 63% to Alba Berlin.
How many points are expected in Oldenburg vs Alba Berlin?
The model estimates 161.4 total points (Oldenburg 78.4 · Alba Berlin 83).