Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 02/10, 20:00

Prediction: S.Oliver Wurzburg vs Telekom Bonn

Team pages: S.Oliver Wurzburg · Telekom Bonn

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.1Total

S.Oliver Wurzburg77.4

Telekom Bonn75.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

S.Oliver Wurzburg Telekom Bonn

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 160.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

S.Oliver Wurzburg 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLLW

Telekom Bonn 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

S.Oliver Wurzburg 2–4 Telekom Bonn (6 last)

Telekom Bonn66-63S.Oliver Wurzburg
S.Oliver Wurzburg82-70Telekom Bonn
S.Oliver Wurzburg76-80Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn88-81S.Oliver Wurzburg
Telekom Bonn54-69S.Oliver Wurzburg
S.Oliver Wurzburg81-87Telekom Bonn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · S.Oliver Wurzburg 1513 · Telekom Bonn 1505

	S.Oliver Wurzburg	Telekom Bonn
Our model	64%	36%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 153.1 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -7.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points153.1S.Oliver Wurzburg 77.4 · Telekom Bonn 75.7

Over / Under 160.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~152.3 pts · strength 8

Match keys

H2H favours Telekom Bonn: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	S.Oliver Wurzburg	Telekom Bonn
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.2 / 71.7	76.1 / 80.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.8 / 72	75.8 / 83.6
Est. result	77	76

Est. total153.1

Line O/U160.5

Diff.7.4

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.77

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.87

Under 160.51.87

Diff.: 6.85 · Est. total: 153.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Bet365 1.77
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
17:41 +8’	1.77	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · S.Oliver Wurzburg 2–0–4 Telekom Bonn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	66-63	S.Oliver Wurzburg
24/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	S.Oliver Wurzburg	82-70	Telekom Bonn
22/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	S.Oliver Wurzburg	76-80	Telekom Bonn
18/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	88-81	S.Oliver Wurzburg
16/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	54-69	S.Oliver Wurzburg
14/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	S.Oliver Wurzburg	81-87	Telekom Bonn

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oldenburg	3	3	0	248	223	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	203	133	4
3	Braunschweig	2	2	0	199	189	4
4	Trier	3	2	1	311	281	4
5	Ratiopharm Ulm	3	2	1	246	245	4
6	Alba Berlin	3	2	1	244	260	4
7	Ludwigsburg	3	2	1	261	260	4
8	Telekom Bonn	3	2	1	253	250	4
9	S.Oliver Wurzburg	2	1	1	158	144	2
10	Fraport Skyliners	2	1	1	176	175	2
11	Hamburg Towers	3	1	2	240	261	2
12	Rostock Seawolves	3	1	2	262	256	2
13	Brose Bamberg	3	1	2	276	278	2
14	Syntainics MBC	3	1	2	230	235	2
15	Chemnitz 99	3	1	2	266	276	2
16	Jena	2	0	2	147	175	0
17	SC Vechta	2	0	2	148	201	0
18	Phoenix Hagen	3	0	3	263	289	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

S.Oliver Wurzburg

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	90-67	W
25/09	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	68-77	L
27/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	63-66	L
24/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	82-70	W
22/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	76-80	L
18/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	81-88	L
16/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	69-54	W
10/05	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	75-58	W
07/05	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	90-73	W
02/05	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	98-84	W

Telekom Bonn

WWLWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	77-72	W
25/09	Trier Germany Bundesliga	80-106	L
19/09	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	96-72	W
04/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	57-77	L
01/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	69-91	L
30/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	78-83	L
27/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	66-63	W
24/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	70-82	L
22/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	80-76	W
18/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	88-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in S.Oliver Wurzburg vs Telekom Bonn?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (S.Oliver Wurzburg 55% · Telekom Bonn 45%).

How many points are expected in S.Oliver Wurzburg vs Telekom Bonn?

The model estimates 153.1 total points (S.Oliver Wurzburg 77.4 · Telekom Bonn 75.7).

Over or under 160.5 points?

Recent history points to under 160.5 points (70%).