Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Chemnitz 99 vs Bayern Munich
Team pages: Chemnitz 99 · Bayern Munich
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.5Total
Chemnitz 9975.6
Bayern Munich87.9
1X2
Chemnitz 99
Bayern Munich
Recent form · 10 last
Chemnitz 99
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Bayern Munich
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chemnitz 99
0–6
Bayern Munich
(6 last)
- Bayern Munich91-77Chemnitz 99
- Chemnitz 9959-87Bayern Munich
- Chemnitz 9972-94Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich73-59Chemnitz 99
- Bayern Munich89-80Chemnitz 99
- Chemnitz 9973-86Bayern Munich
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chemnitz 99 1460 · Bayern Munich 1577
| Chemnitz 99 | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.5 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.5Chemnitz 99 75.6 · Bayern Munich 87.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bayern Munich (rating 1460 vs 1577).
- Bayern Munich is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Bayern Munich: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Chemnitz 99 | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.9 / 85.4 | 89.8 / 73.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.4 / 92.4 | 91.6 / 69.6 |
| Est. result | 76 | 88 |
Est. total163.5
Line O/U170.5
Diff.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chemnitz 99 0–0–6 Bayern Munich
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 91-77 | Chemnitz 99 |
| 18/01/26 Germany Bundesliga | Chemnitz 99 | 59-87 | Bayern Munich |
| 02/03/25 Germany Bundesliga | Chemnitz 99 | 72-94 | Bayern Munich |
| 20/09/24 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 73-59 | Chemnitz 99 |
| 13/02/24 Germany Bundesliga | Bayern Munich | 89-80 | Chemnitz 99 |
| 21/01/24 Germany Bundesliga | Chemnitz 99 | 73-86 | Bayern Munich |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 193 | 6 |
| 2 | Braunschweig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 292 | 276 | 6 |
| 3 | Trier | 4 | 3 | 1 | 405 | 361 | 6 |
| 4 | Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 336 | 6 |
| 5 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 220 | 4 |
| 6 | Fraport Skyliners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 269 | 263 | 4 |
| 7 | Syntainics MBC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 307 | 4 |
| 8 | Ludwigsburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 341 | 354 | 4 |
| 9 | Telekom Bonn | 4 | 2 | 2 | 329 | 333 | 4 |
| 10 | Brose Bamberg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 374 | 361 | 4 |
| 11 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 4 | 2 | 2 | 318 | 334 | 4 |
| 12 | Rostock Seawolves | 4 | 2 | 2 | 353 | 340 | 4 |
| 13 | Jena | 4 | 2 | 2 | 308 | 322 | 4 |
| 14 | Alba Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 327 | 358 | 4 |
| 15 | Hamburg Towers | 4 | 1 | 3 | 324 | 352 | 2 |
| 16 | Chemnitz 99 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 342 | 358 | 2 |
| 17 | Phoenix Hagen | 4 | 0 | 4 | 351 | 382 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Vechta | 4 | 0 | 4 | 306 | 373 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chemnitz 99 | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| Alba Berlin | 82-89 L | 95-61 W |
| Brose Bamberg | 62-89 L | 108-72 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bayern Munich (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chemnitz 99
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Jena Germany Bundesliga |
76-82 | L |
| 27/09 | Phoenix Hagen Germany Bundesliga |
94-93 | W |
| 25/09 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
90-94 | L |
| 18/09 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
82-89 | L |
| 10/05 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
90-104 | L |
| 07/05 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
86-82 | W |
| 03/05 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
84-82 | W |
| 27/04 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
62-89 | L |
| 18/04 | Jena Germany Bundesliga |
76-73 | W |
| 15/04 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
79-66 | W |
Bayern Munich
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga |
113-60 | W |
| 26/09 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
95-61 | W |
| 20/09 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
108-72 | W |
| 21/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-84 | L |
| 19/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
61-71 | L |
| 17/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
91-83 | W |
| 14/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
79-86 | L |
| 12/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
102-94 | W |
| 04/06 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
77-57 | W |
| 01/06 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
91-69 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chemnitz 99 vs Bayern Munich?
Our model gives 81% to Bayern Munich.
How many points are expected in Chemnitz 99 vs Bayern Munich?
The model estimates 163.5 total points (Chemnitz 99 75.6 · Bayern Munich 87.9).