Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 07/11, 18:30

Prediction: Trier vs Brose Bamberg

Team pages: Trier · Brose Bamberg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.8Total

Trier89.5

Brose Bamberg83.3

1X2

67% 33%

Trier Brose Bamberg

Recent form · 10 last

Trier 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Brose Bamberg 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Trier 1–3 Brose Bamberg (4 last)

Brose Bamberg98-79Trier
Trier92-87Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg84-44Trier
Trier61-74Brose Bamberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trier 1569 · Brose Bamberg 1514

	Trier	Brose Bamberg
Our model	70%	30%
Market	67%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 172.8 points · Bet365 line 177 · -4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.8Trier 89.5 · Brose Bamberg 83.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trier (rating 1569 vs 1514).
Trier is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Brose Bamberg: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Trier	Brose Bamberg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88 / 88.5	84.4 / 83.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98 / 81.6	87.2 / 83.8
Est. result	90	83

Est. total172.8

Line O/U177

Diff.4.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.82

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.87

2 (+5.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 1771.87

Under 1771.87

Diff.: 5 · Est. total: 172

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
2	2.82 → 2.82	Bet365 2.82

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	2
15:02 +48’	1.42	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trier 1–0–3 Brose Bamberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	98-79	Trier
05/10/25 Germany Bundesliga	Trier	92-87	Brose Bamberg
15/02/15 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	84-44	Trier
18/10/14 Germany Bundesliga	Trier	61-74	Brose Bamberg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	566	422	10
2	Trier	6	5	1	597	524	10
3	Syntainics MBC	7	5	2	616	568	10
4	Fraport Skyliners	5	4	1	451	423	8
5	S.Oliver Wurzburg	6	4	2	497	481	8
6	Ludwigsburg	7	4	3	610	614	8
7	Rostock Seawolves	7	4	3	621	572	8
8	Brose Bamberg	7	4	3	616	594	8
9	Telekom Bonn	7	4	3	607	573	8
10	Braunschweig	6	3	3	535	567	6
11	Alba Berlin	7	3	4	588	630	6
12	Ratiopharm Ulm	7	3	4	573	594	6
13	Oldenburg	7	3	4	521	584	6
14	Jena	7	2	5	536	618	4
15	SC Vechta	7	2	5	591	636	4
16	Chemnitz 99	7	2	5	607	621	4
17	Phoenix Hagen	7	2	5	600	633	4
18	Hamburg Towers	7	1	6	568	646	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trier	Brose Bamberg
SC Vechta	97-88 W	108-67 W
Alba Berlin	95-75 W	98-83 W
Ludwigsburg	94-80 W	96-103 L
Jena	98-85 W	88-78 W
Bayern Munich	62-99 L	72-108 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Trier (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trier

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	97-88	W
10/10	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	95-75	W
04/10	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	94-80	W
27/09	Jena Germany Bundesliga	98-85	W
25/09	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	106-80	W
19/09	Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga	107-116	L
23/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	62-99	L
19/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	65-92	L
17/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	80-101	L
14/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	76-69	W

Brose Bamberg

WWLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Jena Germany Bundesliga	88-78	W
23/10	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	80-70	W
10/10	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	74-85	L
03/10	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	98-83	W
26/09	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	96-103	L
24/09	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	108-67	W
20/09	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	72-108	L
09/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	66-97	L
06/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-67	W
04/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-73	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trier vs Brose Bamberg?

Our model gives 67% to Trier.

How many points are expected in Trier vs Brose Bamberg?

The model estimates 172.8 total points (Trier 89.5 · Brose Bamberg 83.3).