Prediction: Verdirrojo vs Olimpia

Team pages: Verdirrojo · Olimpia

Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.9Total
Verdirrojo76.4
Olimpia76.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
50% 50%
Verdirrojo Olimpia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Verdirrojo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLWWW
Olimpia 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Verdirrojo 4–2 Olimpia (6 last)
  • Olimpia69-59Verdirrojo
  • Verdirrojo80-70Olimpia
  • Olimpia87-79Verdirrojo
  • Verdirrojo79-72Olimpia
  • Olimpia79-89Verdirrojo
  • Verdirrojo72-63Olimpia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Verdirrojo 1562 · Olimpia 1581
VerdirrojoOlimpia
Our model60%40%
Market47%53%
Estimated total (ours) 152.9 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points152.9Verdirrojo 76.4 · Olimpia 76.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Verdirrojo: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

VerdirrojoOlimpia
Points F|A (Last 10)78.3 / 70.882.7 / 71
Points F|A (Last 5)76.2 / 68.679.4 / 69
Est. result7676
Est. total152.9
Line O/U154.5
Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Verdirrojo 402 Olimpia

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/07/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olimpia69-59Verdirrojo
30/08/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Verdirrojo80-70Olimpia
23/08/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olimpia87-79Verdirrojo
19/08/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Verdirrojo79-72Olimpia
14/08/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Olimpia79-89Verdirrojo
15/05/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Verdirrojo72-63Olimpia

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Trouville 14122 117899326
2 Olimpia 14122 1185104826
3 Stockolmo 14104 106895524
4 Verdirrojo 14104 1098101724
5 Tabare 1486 1140106622
6 Sayago 1477 1103109321
7 Urupan de Pando 1477 1100110821
8 Lagomar 1477 1061110021

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVerdirrojoOlimpia
Tabare 78-72 W 66-69 L
Albatros 94-71 W 101-75 W
Olivol Mundial 76-66 W 61-58 W
Lagomar 74-65 W 84-69 W
Stockolmo 63-82 L 86-74 W
Marne 77-70 W 88-80 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Verdirrojo

WWLWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
01/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
78-72 W
28/07 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
94-71 W
25/07 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-66 W
18/07 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
59-69 L
15/07 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
74-65 W
10/07 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-84 L
07/07 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-65 W
04/07 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
63-82 L
01/07 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-64 W
25/06 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
77-70 W

Olimpia

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
01/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
84-69 W
28/07 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
90-78 W
25/07 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
93-81 W
22/07 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
61-58 W
18/07 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
69-59 W
15/07 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
66-69 L
10/07 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
86-74 W
07/07 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
88-80 W
04/07 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
89-67 W
30/06 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
101-75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Verdirrojo vs Olimpia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Verdirrojo 50% · Olimpia 50%).

How many points are expected in Verdirrojo vs Olimpia?

The model estimates 152.9 total points (Verdirrojo 76.4 · Olimpia 76.4).