Basketball · Australia NBL1 North Women · 07/08, 10:00
Prediction: Townsville Heat (W) vs Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Team pages: Townsville Heat (W) · Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.8Total
Townsville Heat (W)88.2
Mackay Meteorettes (W)79.6
1X2
Townsville Heat (W)
Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Townsville Heat (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Mackay Meteorettes (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Townsville Heat (W)
4–2
Mackay Meteorettes (W)
(6 last)
- Mackay Meteorettes (W)78-88Townsville Heat (W)
- Townsville Heat (W)83-95Mackay Meteorettes (W)
- Townsville Heat (W)70-67Mackay Meteorettes (W)
- Mackay Meteorettes (W)85-74Townsville Heat (W)
- Townsville Heat (W)101-73Mackay Meteorettes (W)
- Mackay Meteorettes (W)66-84Townsville Heat (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Townsville Heat (W) 1562 · Mackay Meteorettes (W) 1560
| Townsville Heat (W) | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.8 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.8Townsville Heat (W) 88.2 · Mackay Meteorettes (W) 79.6
Match keys
- Townsville Heat (W) is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Townsville Heat (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Townsville Heat (W) | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.6 / 76.8 | 87.4 / 79.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.2 / 82 | 88.4 / 73.2 |
| Est. result | 88 | 80 |
Est. total167.8
Line O/U170.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Townsville Heat (W) 4–0–2 Mackay Meteorettes (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Australia NBL1 North Women | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 78-88 | Townsville Heat (W) |
| 22/05/26 Australia NBL1 North Women | Townsville Heat (W) | 83-95 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) |
| 04/07/25 Australia NBL1 North Women | Townsville Heat (W) | 70-67 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) |
| 10/05/25 Australia NBL1 North Women | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 85-74 | Townsville Heat (W) |
| 11/05/24 Australia NBL1 North Women | Townsville Heat (W) | 101-73 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) |
| 12/04/24 Australia NBL1 North Women | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 66-84 | Townsville Heat (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Logan Thunder (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1400 | 1188 | 0 |
| 2 | Cairns Dolphins (W) | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1441 | 1222 | 0 |
| 3 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1435 | 1219 | 0 |
| 4 | Southern District Spartans (W) | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1340 | 1208 | 0 |
| 5 | Townsville Heat (W) | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1377 | 1251 | 0 |
| 6 | Northside Wizards (W) | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1344 | 1241 | 0 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1265 | 1277 | 0 |
| 8 | North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1293 | 1343 | 0 |
| 9 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1126 | 1249 | 0 |
| 10 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) | 16 | 5 | 11 | 1241 | 1396 | 0 |
| 11 | Brisbane Capitals (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1173 | 1393 | 0 |
| 12 | South West Metro Pirates (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1060 | 1282 | 0 |
| 13 | Ipswich Force (W) | 16 | 3 | 13 | 1135 | 1361 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Townsville Heat (W) | Mackay Meteorettes (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cairns Dolphins (W) | 94-90 W | 81-90 L |
| Rockhampton Cyclones (W) | 111-70 W | 70-82 L |
| Logan Thunder (W) | 91-84 W | 88-87 W |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) | 75-83 L | 108-81 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Townsville Heat (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Townsville Heat (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
94-90 | W |
| 24/07 | Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
85-83 | W |
| 18/07 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
111-70 | W |
| 11/07 | Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
91-84 | W |
| 04/07 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
80-83 | L |
| 03/07 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
88-78 | W |
| 27/06 | Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
97-59 | W |
| 19/06 | Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
91-69 | W |
| 13/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
75-83 | L |
| 07/06 | Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
104-69 | W |
Mackay Meteorettes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
88-87 | W |
| 25/07 | Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
94-87 | W |
| 19/07 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
84-69 | W |
| 18/07 | South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
88-64 | W |
| 12/07 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
88-59 | W |
| 03/07 | Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
78-88 | L |
| 27/06 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
70-82 | L |
| 20/06 | Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
81-90 | L |
| 12/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
108-81 | W |
| 29/05 | Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
95-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Townsville Heat (W) vs Mackay Meteorettes (W)?
Our model gives 73% to Townsville Heat (W).
How many points are expected in Townsville Heat (W) vs Mackay Meteorettes (W)?
The model estimates 167.8 total points (Townsville Heat (W) 88.2 · Mackay Meteorettes (W) 79.6).