Basketball · Australia NBL1 North Women · 08/08, 09:30

Prediction: Townsville Heat (W) vs Mackay Meteorettes (W)

Team pages: Townsville Heat (W) · Mackay Meteorettes (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.9Total

Townsville Heat (W)85.5

Mackay Meteorettes (W)83.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Townsville Heat (W) Mackay Meteorettes (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Townsville Heat (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWWWL

Mackay Meteorettes (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Townsville Heat (W) 3–3 Mackay Meteorettes (W) (6 last)

Townsville Heat (W)78-107Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Mackay Meteorettes (W)78-88Townsville Heat (W)
Townsville Heat (W)83-95Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Townsville Heat (W)70-67Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Mackay Meteorettes (W)85-74Townsville Heat (W)
Townsville Heat (W)101-73Mackay Meteorettes (W)

Model analysis

Estimated points168.9Townsville Heat (W) 85.5 · Mackay Meteorettes (W) 83.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Townsville Heat (W)	Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89 / 80.6	88.6 / 78.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.8 / 86.8	92.2 / 77
Est. result	86	83

Est. total168.9

Line O/U165

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1651.84

Under 1651.83

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 168.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.25▼	Pinn 1.25
2	1.81 → 3.22▲	Pinn 3.22

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
12:43 +3’	1.85	1.81
13:42 +3’	1.25▼	3.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Townsville Heat (W) 3–0–3 Mackay Meteorettes (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Australia NBL1 North Women	Townsville Heat (W)	78-107	Mackay Meteorettes (W)
03/07/26 Australia NBL1 North Women	Mackay Meteorettes (W)	78-88	Townsville Heat (W)
22/05/26 Australia NBL1 North Women	Townsville Heat (W)	83-95	Mackay Meteorettes (W)
04/07/25 Australia NBL1 North Women	Townsville Heat (W)	70-67	Mackay Meteorettes (W)
10/05/25 Australia NBL1 North Women	Mackay Meteorettes (W)	85-74	Townsville Heat (W)
11/05/24 Australia NBL1 North Women	Townsville Heat (W)	101-73	Mackay Meteorettes (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Logan Thunder (W)	16	14	2	1400	1188
2	Cairns Dolphins (W)	16	13	3	1441	1222
3	Mackay Meteorettes (W)	16	11	5	1435	1219
4	Southern District Spartans (W)	16	11	5	1340	1208
5	Townsville Heat (W)	16	11	5	1377	1251
6	Northside Wizards (W)	16	11	5	1344	1241
7	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	16	7	9	1265	1277
8	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	16	7	9	1293	1343
9	Gold Coast Rollers (W)	16	5	11	1126	1249
10	Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	16	5	11	1241	1396
11	Brisbane Capitals (W)	16	3	13	1173	1393
12	South West Metro Pirates (W)	16	3	13	1060	1282
13	Ipswich Force (W)	16	3	13	1135	1361

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Townsville Heat (W)	Mackay Meteorettes (W)
Cairns Dolphins (W)	94-90 W	81-90 L
Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	111-70 W	70-82 L
Logan Thunder (W)	91-84 W	88-87 W
North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	75-83 L	108-81 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Townsville Heat (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Townsville Heat (W)

LWWWLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/08	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	78-107	L
01/08	Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	94-90	W
24/07	Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	85-83	W
18/07	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	111-70	W
11/07	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	91-84	W
04/07	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	80-83	L
03/07	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-78	W
27/06	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	97-59	W
19/06	Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	91-69	W
13/06	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	75-83	L

Mackay Meteorettes (W)

WLLLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/08	Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	107-78	W
01/08	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-87	W
25/07	Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	94-87	W
19/07	Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	84-69	W
18/07	South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-64	W
12/07	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-59	W
03/07	Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	78-88	L
27/06	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	70-82	L
20/06	Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	81-90	L
12/06	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	108-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Townsville Heat (W) vs Mackay Meteorettes (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Townsville Heat (W) 56% · Mackay Meteorettes (W) 44%).

How many points are expected in Townsville Heat (W) vs Mackay Meteorettes (W)?

The model estimates 168.9 total points (Townsville Heat (W) 85.5 · Mackay Meteorettes (W) 83.4).