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Basketball · Australia NBL1 East Women · 02/08, 05:00

Prediction: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) vs Newcastle Falcons (W)

Team pages: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) · Newcastle Falcons (W)

Prediction summary
Estimated points
149Total
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)79.4
Newcastle Falcons (W)69.6
1X2
76% 24%
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Newcastle Falcons (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWLWL
Newcastle Falcons (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 4–2 Newcastle Falcons (W) (6 last)
  • Newcastle Falcons (W)57-67Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)
  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)89-67Newcastle Falcons (W)
  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)95-72Newcastle Falcons (W)
  • Newcastle Falcons (W)88-72Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)
  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)74-75Newcastle Falcons (W)
  • Newcastle Falcons (W)73-78Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 1571 · Newcastle Falcons (W) 1548
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)Newcastle Falcons (W)
Our model66%34%
Market79%21%
Estimated total (ours) 149 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points149Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 79.4 · Newcastle Falcons (W) 69.6

Match keys

  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
  • H2H favours Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)Newcastle Falcons (W)
Points F|A (Last 10)85.6 / 61.982.8 / 65
Points F|A (Last 5)89 / 65.286.2 / 59.2
Est. result7970
Est. total149
Line O/U146.5
Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 4–0–2 Newcastle Falcons (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Australia NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons (W)57-67Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)
09/08/25
Australia NBL1 East Women
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)89-67Newcastle Falcons (W)
28/06/25
Australia NBL1 East Women
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)95-72Newcastle Falcons (W)
03/08/24
Australia NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons (W)88-72Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)
22/06/24
Australia NBL1 East Women
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)74-75Newcastle Falcons (W)
12/05/24
Australia NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons (W)73-78Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 East Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Norths Bears (W) 20200 181312940
2 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 20182 173312150
3 Bankstown Bruins (W) 20164 167614190
4 BA Centre of Excellence Women 20155 165413510
5 Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) 20137 159713730
6 Newcastle Falcons (W) 20137 161913440
7 Hills Hornets (W) 20119 159814980
8 Hornsby Spiders (W) 201010 162315570
9 Maitland Mustangs (W) 201010 153114390
10 Canberra Nationals (W) 20911 151014900
11 Sutherland Sharks (W) 20911 150314390
12 Sydney Comets (W) 20614 134815310
13 Illawarra Hawks (W) 20614 133116460
14 Penrith Panthers (W) 20218 114516670
15 Central Coast Crusaders (W) 20218 109317590
16 Inner West Bulls (W) 20020 118819400

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentManly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)Newcastle Falcons (W)
Bankstown Bruins (W) 82-91 L 72-85 L
Inner West Bulls (W) 112-50 W 102-41 W
Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) 83-70 W 89-104 L
Hills Hornets (W) 71-54 W 69-61 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/07 Bankstown Bruins (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 82-91 L
18/07 Inner West Bulls (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 112-50 W
10/07 Norths Bears (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 66-77 L
04/07 Sutherland Sharks (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 92-52 W
28/06 Bankstown Bruins (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 93-56 W
27/06 Newcastle Falcons (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 67-57 W
20/06 Illawarra Hawks (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 103-51 W
14/06 BA Centre of Excellence Women
Australia NBL1 East Women
 87-61 W
13/06 Albury Wodonga Bandits (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 83-70 W
30/05 Hills Hornets (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 71-54 W

Newcastle Falcons (W)

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/07 Hills Hornets (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 69-61 W
18/07 Maitland Mustangs (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 84-86 L
12/07 Hornsby Spiders (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 74-46 W
11/07 Central Coast Crusaders (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 102-62 W
04/07 Inner West Bulls (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 102-41 W
28/06 Penrith Panthers (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 85-36 W
27/06 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 57-67 L
20/06 Albury Wodonga Bandits (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 89-104 L
14/06 Hornsby Spiders (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 94-62 W
13/06 Bankstown Bruins (W)
Australia NBL1 East Women
 72-85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) vs Newcastle Falcons (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W).

How many points are expected in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) vs Newcastle Falcons (W)?

The model estimates 149 total points (Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) 79.4 · Newcastle Falcons (W) 69.6).