Basketball · Australia NBL1 East Women · 25/07, 10:00

Prediction: Newcastle Falcons (W) vs Hills Hornets (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

156.2Total

Newcastle Falcons (W)80.2

Hills Hornets (W)76

1X2

62% 38%

Newcastle Falcons (W) Hills Hornets (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Newcastle Falcons (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWWWL

Hills Hornets (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Newcastle Falcons (W) 6–0 Hills Hornets (W) (6 last)

Newcastle Falcons (W)76-64Hills Hornets (W)
Newcastle Falcons (W)88-68Hills Hornets (W)
Newcastle Falcons (W)91-61Hills Hornets (W)

Model analysis

Estimated points156.2Newcastle Falcons (W) 80.2 · Hills Hornets (W) 76

Match keys

H2H favours Newcastle Falcons (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Newcastle Falcons (W)	Hills Hornets (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82 / 67.3	88.1 / 75.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.4 / 54.2	91.2 / 75.2
Est. result	80	76

Est. total156.2

Line O/U151

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1511.89

Under 1511.77

Diff.: 5.45 · Est. total: 156.45

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Pinn 1.07
2	5.19 → 5.19	Pinn 5.19

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	2
10:43 +2’	1.07	5.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Falcons (W) 6–0–0 Hills Hornets (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Australia NBL1 East Women	Newcastle Falcons (W)	76-64	Hills Hornets (W)
20/07/25 Australia NBL1 East Women	Newcastle Falcons (W)	88-68	Hills Hornets (W)
29/06/24 Australia NBL1 East Women	Newcastle Falcons (W)	91-61	Hills Hornets (W)
23/04/23 Australia NBL1 East Women	Newcastle Falcons (W)	74-51	Hills Hornets (W)
01/04/23 Australia NBL1 East Women	Hills Hornets (W)	57-67	Newcastle Falcons (W)
09/07/22 Australia NBL1 East Women	Newcastle Falcons (W)	64-46	Hills Hornets (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 East Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Norths Bears (W)	20	20	0	1813	1294
2	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)	20	18	2	1733	1215
3	Bankstown Bruins (W)	20	16	4	1676	1419
4	BA Centre of Excellence Women	20	15	5	1654	1351
5	Albury Wodonga Bandits (W)	20	13	7	1597	1373
6	Newcastle Falcons (W)	20	13	7	1619	1344
7	Hills Hornets (W)	20	11	9	1598	1498
8	Hornsby Spiders (W)	20	10	10	1623	1557
9	Maitland Mustangs (W)	20	10	10	1531	1439
10	Canberra Nationals (W)	20	9	11	1510	1490
11	Sutherland Sharks (W)	20	9	11	1503	1439
12	Sydney Comets (W)	20	6	14	1348	1531
13	Illawarra Hawks (W)	20	6	14	1331	1646
14	Penrith Panthers (W)	20	2	18	1145	1667
15	Central Coast Crusaders (W)	20	2	18	1093	1759
16	Inner West Bulls (W)	20	0	20	1188	1940

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Newcastle Falcons (W)	Hills Hornets (W)
Maitland Mustangs (W)	84-86 L	101-80 W
Hornsby Spiders (W)	74-46 W	100-73 W
Inner West Bulls (W)	102-41 W	102-63 W
Penrith Panthers (W)	85-36 W	93-67 W
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W)	57-67 L	54-71 L
Albury Wodonga Bandits (W)	89-104 L	78-104 L
Bankstown Bruins (W)	72-85 L	79-100 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Newcastle Falcons (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Newcastle Falcons (W)

LLWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Maitland Mustangs (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	84-86	L
12/07	Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	74-46	W
11/07	Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	102-62	W
04/07	Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	102-41	W
28/06	Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	85-36	W
27/06	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	57-67	L
20/06	Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	89-104	L
14/06	Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	94-62	W
13/06	Bankstown Bruins (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	72-85	L
30/05	BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women	61-84	L

Hills Hornets (W)

LWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Illawarra Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	92-68	W
11/07	Bankstown Bruins (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	79-100	L
10/07	Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	93-67	W
04/07	Maitland Mustangs (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	101-80	W
27/06	Illawarra Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	91-61	W
21/06	Sutherland Sharks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	91-68	W
20/06	Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	100-73	W
14/06	Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	78-104	L
31/05	Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	102-63	W
30/05	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women	54-71	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Newcastle Falcons (W) vs Hills Hornets (W)?

Our model gives 62% to Newcastle Falcons (W).

How many points are expected in Newcastle Falcons (W) vs Hills Hornets (W)?

The model estimates 156.2 total points (Newcastle Falcons (W) 80.2 · Hills Hornets (W) 76).