Basketball · Spain Liga Women · 07/10, 20:00

Prediction: Gernika Bizkaia (W) vs Zaragoza (W)

Team pages: Zaragoza (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.2Total

Gernika Bizkaia (W)71.9

Zaragoza (W)79.3

1X2

30% 70%

Gernika Bizkaia (W) Zaragoza (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Gernika Bizkaia (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLWW

Zaragoza (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Gernika Bizkaia (W) 4–2 Zaragoza (W) (6 last)

Gernika Bizkaia (W)84-81Zaragoza (W)
Zaragoza (W)85-63Gernika Bizkaia (W)
Gernika Bizkaia (W)97-83Zaragoza (W)
Zaragoza (W)71-64Gernika Bizkaia (W)
Gernika Bizkaia (W)73-70Zaragoza (W)
Zaragoza (W)55-63Gernika Bizkaia (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gernika Bizkaia (W) 1509 · Zaragoza (W) 1535

	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	Zaragoza (W)
Our model	59%	41%
Market	22%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 151.2 points · Bet365 line 142.5 · +8.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.2Gernika Bizkaia (W) 71.9 · Zaragoza (W) 79.3

Match keys

Zaragoza (W) is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Gernika Bizkaia (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	Zaragoza (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.7 / 77.3	75.6 / 63.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.2 / 75.8	68.4 / 63
Est. result	72	79

Est. total151.2

Line O/U142.5

Diff.8.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.20

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.83

2 (-9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 142.51.83

Under 142.51.83

Diff.: 6.1 · Est. total: 148.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	2
17:44 +11’	4.20	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:10 +42’	3.74	1.17
14:17 +35’	4.16▲	1.14▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gernika Bizkaia (W) 4–0–2 Zaragoza (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/09/26 Club Friendlies Women	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	84-81	Zaragoza (W)
15/02/26 Spain Liga Women	Zaragoza (W)	85-63	Gernika Bizkaia (W)
19/10/25 Spain Liga Women	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	97-83	Zaragoza (W)
06/04/25 Spain Liga Women	Zaragoza (W)	71-64	Gernika Bizkaia (W)
23/11/24 Spain Liga Women	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	73-70	Zaragoza (W)
11/09/24 Club Friendlies Women	Zaragoza (W)	55-63	Gernika Bizkaia (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zaragoza (W)	1	1	0	68	41	2
2	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	1	1	0	72	53	2
3	Mallorca (W)	1	1	0	88	71	2
4	Perfumerias Avenida (W)	1	1	0	73	57	2
5	Uni Ferrol (W)	1	1	0	82	77	2
6	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	1	1	0	84	80	2
7	Estudiantes (W)	1	1	0	82	79	2
8	Leganes (W)	1	1	0	66	63	2
9	Girona (W)	1	0	1	79	82	1
10	Club Jairis (W)	1	0	1	63	66	1
11	RC Celta (W)	1	0	1	80	84	1
12	Araski (W)	1	0	1	77	82	1
13	AE Sedis (W)	1	0	1	57	73	1
14	Valencia (W)	1	0	1	71	88	1
15	Ensino Lugo (W)	1	0	1	53	72	1
16	CAB Estepona (W)	1	0	1	41	68	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	Zaragoza (W)
Perfumerias Avenida (W)	86-75 W	67-56 W
AE Sedis (W)	64-74 L	91-65 W
Estudiantes (W)	85-82 W	80-72 W
CAB Estepona (W)	76-81 L	68-41 W
Valencia (W)	67-68 L	67-68 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zaragoza (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gernika Bizkaia (W)

WLLLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	RC Celta (W) Spain Liga Women	84-80	W
25/04	Perfumerias Avenida (W) Spain Liga Women	86-75	W
18/04	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	64-74	L
11/04	CB Islas Canarias (W) Spain Liga Women	109-78	W
08/04	IDK Guipuzcoa (W) Spain Liga Women	73-72	W
04/04	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	85-82	W
22/03	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	76-81	L
06/03	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	67-68	L
28/02	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	70-102	L
22/02	Araski (W) Spain Liga Women	93-61	W

Zaragoza (W)

WWWWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	68-41	W
17/05	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	67-68	L
14/05	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	73-81	L
10/05	Perfumerias Avenida (W) Spain Liga Women	67-56	W
07/05	Perfumerias Avenida (W) Spain Liga Women	67-69	L
03/05	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	90-49	W
30/04	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	84-68	W
25/04	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	91-65	W
23/04	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	80-72	W
11/04	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	69-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gernika Bizkaia (W) vs Zaragoza (W)?

Our model gives 70% to Zaragoza (W).

How many points are expected in Gernika Bizkaia (W) vs Zaragoza (W)?

The model estimates 151.2 total points (Gernika Bizkaia (W) 71.9 · Zaragoza (W) 79.3).