Basketball · Spain Liga Women · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Leganes (W) vs IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Team pages: Leganes (W) · IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

145.8Total

Leganes (W)75.6

IDK Guipuzcoa (W)70.2

1X2

65% 35%

Leganes (W) IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Leganes (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLDLWL

IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Leganes (W) 4–2 IDK Guipuzcoa (W) (6 last)

Leganes (W)87-61IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
IDK Guipuzcoa (W)60-73Leganes (W)
Leganes (W)59-57IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
IDK Guipuzcoa (W)81-54Leganes (W)
Leganes (W)61-92IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Leganes (W)66-65IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leganes (W) 1523 · IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 1526

	Leganes (W)	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Our model	62%	38%
Market	66%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 145.8 points · Bet365 line 133.5 · +12.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points145.8Leganes (W) 75.6 · IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 70.2

Match keys

Leganes (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Leganes (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Leganes (W)	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	67.9 / 72.4	67.6 / 67.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	67.8 / 76.8	67 / 69.2
Est. result	76	70

Est. total145.8

Line O/U133.5

Diff.12.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 133.51.83

Under 133.51.83

Diff.: 4.35 · Est. total: 137.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.43 ★
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	2
19:55 +3’	1.42	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:09 +42’	1.39	2.62
19:03 +9’	1.37▼	2.67▲
19:33 +39’	1.35▼	2.74▲
22:56 +7’	1.40▲	2.59▼
13:13 +63’	1.43▲	2.49▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leganes (W) 4–0–2 IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Spain Liga Women	Leganes (W)	87-61	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
20/12/25 Spain Liga Women	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	60-73	Leganes (W)
05/09/25 Club Friendlies Women	Leganes (W)	59-57	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
18/03/23 Spain Liga Women	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	81-54	Leganes (W)
27/12/22 Spain Liga Women	Leganes (W)	61-92	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
03/04/22 Spain Liga Women	Leganes (W)	66-65	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zaragoza (W)	2	2	0	176	113	4
2	Estudiantes (W)	2	2	0	158	124	4
3	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	2	2	0	147	118	4
4	Mallorca (W)	2	2	0	177	154	4
5	Club Jairis (W)	2	1	1	137	127	3
6	AE Sedis (W)	2	1	1	127	133	3
7	Leganes (W)	2	1	1	126	133	3
8	Perfumerias Avenida (W)	2	1	1	130	139	3
9	Valencia (W)	2	1	1	153	145	3
10	Uni Ferrol (W)	2	1	1	143	151	3
11	CAB Estepona (W)	2	1	1	123	123	3
12	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	2	1	1	156	188	3
13	Girona (W)	2	0	2	162	171	2
14	RC Celta (W)	2	0	2	145	159	2
15	Araski (W)	2	0	2	122	158	2
16	Ensino Lugo (W)	2	0	2	108	154	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leganes (W)	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Girona (W)	63-89 L	58-84 L
Uni Ferrol (W)	68-80 L	67-51 W
Zaragoza (W)	50-73 L	73-83 L
Ensino Lugo (W)	63-69 L	72-53 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IDK Guipuzcoa (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leganes (W)

WLLWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	60-70	L
03/10	Club Jairis (W) Spain Liga Women	66-63	W
03/05	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	63-89	L
30/04	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	82-82	D
25/04	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	68-80	L
18/04	IDK Guipuzcoa (W) Spain Liga Women	87-61	W
11/04	Joventut Badalona (W) Spain Liga Women	67-66	W
08/04	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	50-73	L
04/04	Ensino Lugo (W) Spain Liga Women	63-69	L
22/03	Club Jairis (W) Spain Liga Women	73-71	W

IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

LWWLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	RC Celta (W) Spain Liga Women	75-65	W
04/10	Ensino Lugo (W) Spain Liga Women	72-53	W
25/04	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	58-84	L
18/04	Leganes (W) Spain Liga Women	61-87	L
11/04	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	69-57	W
08/04	Gernika Bizkaia (W) Spain Liga Women	72-73	L
04/04	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	53-62	L
22/03	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	67-51	W
06/03	CB Islas Canarias (W) Spain Liga Women	76-63	W
28/02	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	73-83	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leganes (W) vs IDK Guipuzcoa (W)?

Our model gives 65% to Leganes (W).

How many points are expected in Leganes (W) vs IDK Guipuzcoa (W)?

The model estimates 145.8 total points (Leganes (W) 75.6 · IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 70.2).