Basketball · Spain Liga Women · 04/10, 12:00

Prediction: Ensino Lugo (W) vs IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

147Total

Ensino Lugo (W)74.6

IDK Guipuzcoa (W)72.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Ensino Lugo (W) IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ensino Lugo (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWWLL

IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Ensino Lugo (W) 2–4 IDK Guipuzcoa (W) (6 last)

IDK Guipuzcoa (W)79-74Ensino Lugo (W)
Ensino Lugo (W)61-51IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Ensino Lugo (W)69-74IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
IDK Guipuzcoa (W)46-75Ensino Lugo (W)
IDK Guipuzcoa (W)70-63Ensino Lugo (W)
Ensino Lugo (W)58-65IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Model analysis

Estimated points147Ensino Lugo (W) 74.6 · IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 72.5

Match keys

H2H favours IDK Guipuzcoa (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ensino Lugo (W)	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.8 / 73.9	67.2 / 67.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 78.8	62.6 / 72.6
Est. result	75	73

Est. total147

Line O/U138

Diff.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1381.83

Under 1381.84

Diff.: 3.85 · Est. total: 141.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.42
2	2.53 → 2.53	Pinn 2.53

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.1%

Time*	1	2
12:31 +38’	1.42	2.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ensino Lugo (W) 2–0–4 IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Spain Liga Women	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	79-74	Ensino Lugo (W)
03/12/25 Spain Liga Women	Ensino Lugo (W)	61-51	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
19/04/25 Spain Liga Women	Ensino Lugo (W)	69-74	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
15/12/24 Spain Liga Women	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	46-75	Ensino Lugo (W)
20/04/24 Spain Liga Women	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	70-63	Ensino Lugo (W)
16/12/23 Spain Liga Women	Ensino Lugo (W)	58-65	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AE Sedis (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Araski (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leganes (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zaragoza (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CAB Estepona (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Perfumerias Avenida (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Estudiantes (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Club Jairis (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Celta (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ensino Lugo (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mallorca (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Girona (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Uni Ferrol (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valencia (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ensino Lugo (W)	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)
Valencia (W)	70-73 L	69-57 W
Girona (W)	90-95 L	58-84 L
AE Sedis (W)	61-71 L	77-42 W
Leganes (W)	69-63 W	61-87 L
Gran Canaria (W)	102-66 W	76-63 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ensino Lugo (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ensino Lugo (W)

WLLWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/05	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	70-73	L
30/04	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	72-85	L
25/04	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	84-79	W
19/04	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	70-62	W
12/04	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	90-95	L
08/04	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	61-71	L
04/04	Leganes (W) Spain Liga Women	69-63	W
22/03	Perfumerias Avenida (W) Spain Liga Women	63-66	L
06/03	Club Jairis (W) Spain Liga Women	67-79	L
28/02	Gran Canaria (W) Spain Liga Women	102-66	W

IDK Guipuzcoa (W)

LWLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/04	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	58-84	L
18/04	Leganes (W) Spain Liga Women	61-87	L
11/04	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	69-57	W
08/04	Gernika Bizkaia (W) Spain Liga Women	72-73	L
04/04	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	53-62	L
22/03	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	67-51	W
06/03	Gran Canaria (W) Spain Liga Women	76-63	W
28/02	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	73-83	L
21/02	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	77-42	W
15/02	Araski (W) Spain Liga Women	66-76	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ensino Lugo (W) vs IDK Guipuzcoa (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ensino Lugo (W) 56% · IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 44%).

How many points are expected in Ensino Lugo (W) vs IDK Guipuzcoa (W)?

The model estimates 147 total points (Ensino Lugo (W) 74.6 · IDK Guipuzcoa (W) 72.5).