Basketball · France Ligue B · 25/09, 20:00

Prediction: La Rochelle vs Gries-Souffel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.9Total

La Rochelle84

Gries-Souffel81.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

La Rochelle Gries-Souffel

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

La Rochelle 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWLL

Gries-Souffel 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

La Rochelle 3–3 Gries-Souffel (6 last)

Gries-Souffel97-89La Rochelle
La Rochelle76-87Gries-Souffel
La Rochelle75-54Gries-Souffel
Gries-Souffel80-73La Rochelle
La Rochelle68-54Gries-Souffel
Gries-Souffel69-75La Rochelle

Model analysis

Estimated points165.9La Rochelle 84 · Gries-Souffel 81.9

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	La Rochelle	Gries-Souffel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.7 / 84.4	80.7 / 83.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.6 / 87.8	81.6 / 82.6
Est. result	84	82

Est. total165.9

Line O/U161

Diff.4.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1611.91

Under 1611.91

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 164.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.55
2	2.47 → 2.47	Pinn 2.47

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	2
20:09 +43’	1.55	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · La Rochelle 3–0–3 Gries-Souffel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 France Ligue B	Gries-Souffel	97-89	La Rochelle
21/11/25 France Ligue B	La Rochelle	76-87	Gries-Souffel
22/05/24 France Ligue B	La Rochelle	75-54	Gries-Souffel
19/05/24 France Ligue B	Gries-Souffel	80-73	La Rochelle
16/05/24 France Ligue B	La Rochelle	68-54	Gries-Souffel
05/04/24 France Ligue B	Gries-Souffel	69-75	La Rochelle

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blois	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aix Maurienne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gries-Souffel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Evreux	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Antibes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Denain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caen Basket Calvados	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chalons-Reims	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fos-sur-Mer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hyeres Toulon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vichy Clermont	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Levallois Basketball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Orleans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Poitiers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UJAP Quimper	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rouen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint-Chamond	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	La Rochelle	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	La Rochelle	Gries-Souffel
Vichy Clermont	70-73 L	62-60 W
Orleans	84-77 W	80-81 L
Caen Basket Calvados	92-74 W	79-70 W
Rouen	80-83 L	76-79 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: La Rochelle (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Rochelle

LLWWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	69-90	L
19/05	Nantes France Ligue B	89-107	L
15/05	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	87-76	W
09/05	Blois France Ligue B	67-86	L
30/04	Evreux France Ligue B	81-80	W
24/04	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	70-73	L
21/04	Orleans France Ligue B	84-77	W
17/04	Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B	92-74	W
10/04	Nantes France Ligue B	88-98	L
07/04	Rouen France Ligue B	80-83	L

Gries-Souffel

LWWLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/05	Orleans France Ligue B	80-81	L
08/05	Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B	84-91	L
01/05	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	89-92	L
24/04	Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B	79-70	W
21/04	Rouen France Ligue B	76-79	L
17/04	Roanne France Ligue B	69-87	L
12/04	Poitiers France Ligue B	80-86	L
07/04	Denain France Ligue B	93-92	W
03/04	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	62-60	W
27/03	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-96	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Rochelle vs Gries-Souffel?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (La Rochelle 56% · Gries-Souffel 44%).

How many points are expected in La Rochelle vs Gries-Souffel?

The model estimates 165.9 total points (La Rochelle 84 · Gries-Souffel 81.9).