Basketball · France Ligue B · 02/10, 20:30

Prediction: Saint-Chamond vs Caen Basket Calvados

Team pages: Caen Basket Calvados

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.5Total

Saint-Chamond85.5

Caen Basket Calvados80.1

1X2

65% 35%

Saint-Chamond Caen Basket Calvados

Recent form · 10 last

Saint-Chamond 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Caen Basket Calvados 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Saint-Chamond 5–1 Caen Basket Calvados (6 last)

Saint-Chamond77-68Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados93-94Saint-Chamond
Caen Basket Calvados81-105Saint-Chamond
Saint-Chamond73-79Caen Basket Calvados
Saint-Chamond72-64Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados77-85Saint-Chamond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint-Chamond 1472 · Caen Basket Calvados 1478

	Saint-Chamond	Caen Basket Calvados
Our model	62%	38%
Market	66%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 165.5 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165.5Saint-Chamond 85.5 · Caen Basket Calvados 80.1

Match keys

Saint-Chamond is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Saint-Chamond: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint-Chamond	Caen Basket Calvados
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.1 / 85.8	82.6 / 85.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78 / 90.8	80.8 / 86
Est. result	86	80

Est. total165.5

Line O/U164.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 165.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	2
14:29 +26’	1.42	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint-Chamond 5–0–1 Caen Basket Calvados

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 France Ligue B	Saint-Chamond	77-68	Caen Basket Calvados
23/12/25 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	93-94	Saint-Chamond
28/04/25 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	81-105	Saint-Chamond
25/10/24 France Ligue B	Saint-Chamond	73-79	Caen Basket Calvados
12/04/19 France Ligue B	Saint-Chamond	72-64	Caen Basket Calvados
18/12/18 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	77-85	Saint-Chamond

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Le Havre	1	1	0	90	77
2	Denain	1	1	0	87	76
3	Antibes	1	1	0	81	73
4	La Rochelle	1	1	0	95	88
5	Evreux	1	1	0	86	80
6	Hyeres Toulon	1	1	0	82	76
7	Vichy Clermont	1	1	0	101	97
8	Caen Basket Calvados	1	1	0	95	91
9	Chalons-Reims	1	1	0	88	84
10	Levallois Basketball	1	1	0	79	77
11	UJAP Quimper	1	0	1	77	79
12	Rouen	1	0	1	97	101
13	Aix Maurienne	1	0	1	91	95
14	Orleans	1	0	1	84	88
15	Poitiers	1	0	1	80	86
16	Fos-sur-Mer	1	0	1	76	82
17	Gries-Souffel	1	0	1	88	95
18	Nantes	1	0	1	73	81
19	Blois	1	0	1	76	87
20	Saint-Chamond	1	0	1	77	90

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint-Chamond	Caen Basket Calvados
La Rochelle	76-87 L	74-92 L
Roanne	79-93 L	71-75 L
Chalons-Reims	90-92 L	75-99 L
UJAP Quimper	67-78 L	85-77 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint-Chamond

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Le Havre France Ligue B	77-90	L
15/05	La Rochelle France Ligue B	76-87	L
08/05	Roanne France Ligue B	79-93	L
05/05	Orleans France Ligue B	88-96	L
01/05	Nantes France Ligue B	70-88	L
24/04	Blois France Ligue B	75-81	L
21/04	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	90-92	L
17/04	Denain France Ligue B	80-77	W
11/04	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	67-78	L
07/04	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	79-76	W

Caen Basket Calvados

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-91	W
15/05	Antibes France Ligue B	93-86	W
08/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	75-99	L
01/05	Roanne France Ligue B	71-75	L
24/04	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	70-79	L
21/04	Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B	98-106	L
17/04	La Rochelle France Ligue B	74-92	L
10/04	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	76-61	W
07/04	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	85-77	W
02/04	Poitiers France Ligue B	89-87	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint-Chamond vs Caen Basket Calvados?

Our model gives 65% to Saint-Chamond.

How many points are expected in Saint-Chamond vs Caen Basket Calvados?

The model estimates 165.5 total points (Saint-Chamond 85.5 · Caen Basket Calvados 80.1).