Basketball · France Ligue B · 26/09, 19:00

Prediction: Antibes vs Nantes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.1Total

Antibes85

Nantes85

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Antibes Nantes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 166.5 points 67%

Recent form · 10 last

Antibes 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLWLL

Nantes 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Antibes 4–2 Nantes (6 last)

Nantes108-81Antibes
Antibes79-91Nantes
Antibes87-65Nantes
Nantes79-82Antibes
Nantes88-103Antibes
Antibes90-82Nantes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antibes 1469 · Nantes 1533

	Antibes	Nantes
Our model	54%	46%
Market	49%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 170.1 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.1Antibes 85 · Nantes 85

Over / Under 166.5Under · 67%recent trend · ~155.2 pts · strength 11

Match keys

H2H favours Antibes: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Antibes	Nantes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82 / 87.4	87.4 / 79.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.8 / 91.4	81.2 / 81
Est. result	85	85

Est. total170.1

Line O/U166.5

Diff.3.6

Over / Under33% / 67%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.87

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.83

2 (-1)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 168.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Pinn 1.93
2	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.88 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
12:53 +3’	1.87	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
19:10 +42’	1.88	1.93
06:58 +53’	1.93▲	1.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antibes 4–0–2 Nantes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 France Ligue B	Nantes	108-81	Antibes
24/10/25 France Ligue B	Antibes	79-91	Nantes
11/04/25 France Ligue B	Antibes	87-65	Nantes
01/11/24 France Ligue B	Nantes	79-82	Antibes
19/04/24 France Ligue B	Nantes	88-103	Antibes
31/10/23 France Ligue B	Antibes	90-82	Nantes

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blois	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Aix Maurienne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gries-Souffel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Evreux	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Antibes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Denain	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caen Basket Calvados	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chalons-Reims	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fos-sur-Mer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hyeres Toulon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vichy Clermont	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Levallois Basketball	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Orleans	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Poitiers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UJAP Quimper	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rouen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Saint-Chamond	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	La Rochelle	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antibes	Nantes
Vichy Clermont	83-72 W	82-75 W
Poitiers	78-92 L	75-85 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antibes

LLWWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/05	Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B	86-93	L
08/05	Nantes France Ligue B	81-108	L
30/04	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	83-72	W
25/04	Pau-Orthez France Ligue B	71-92	L
21/04	Roanne France Ligue B	68-92	L
17/04	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	93-80	W
10/04	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	87-79	W
07/04	Evreux France Ligue B	91-76	W
03/04	Rouen France Ligue B	82-90	L
27/03	Poitiers France Ligue B	78-92	L

Nantes

WWWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/06	Poitiers France Ligue B	75-85	L
06/06	Poitiers France Ligue B	79-88	L
03/06	Poitiers France Ligue B	83-80	W
31/05	Blois France Ligue B	88-68	W
27/05	Blois France Ligue B	81-84	L
24/05	Blois France Ligue B	83-73	W
19/05	La Rochelle France Ligue B	107-89	W
15/05	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	82-75	W
08/05	Antibes France Ligue B	108-81	W
01/05	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	88-70	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antibes vs Nantes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Antibes 50% · Nantes 50%).

How many points are expected in Antibes vs Nantes?

The model estimates 170.1 total points (Antibes 85 · Nantes 85).

Over or under 166.5 points?

Recent history points to under 166.5 points (67%).