Basketball · France Ligue B · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Orleans vs Chalons-Reims
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.5Total
Orleans81.6
Chalons-Reims75.9
1X2
Orleans
Chalons-Reims
Markets
Under 161.5 points 68%
Recent form · 10 last
Orleans
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Chalons-Reims
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orleans
5–1
Chalons-Reims
(6 last)
- Chalons-Reims67-77Orleans
- Orleans83-55Chalons-Reims
- Orleans78-59Chalons-Reims
- Chalons-Reims83-90Orleans
- Orleans86-90Chalons-Reims
- Chalons-Reims69-89Orleans
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orleans 1535 · Chalons-Reims 1509
| Orleans | Chalons-Reims | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.5 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.5Orleans 81.6 · Chalons-Reims 75.9
Over / Under 161.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~150.5 pts · strength 11
Match keys
- Orleans is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Orleans: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Orleans | Chalons-Reims | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.5 / 79.2 | 81.6 / 76.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.6 / 77.8 | 80 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 82 | 76 |
Est. total157.5
Line O/U161.5
Diff.4
Over / Under32% / 68%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orleans 5–0–1 Chalons-Reims
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 France Ligue B | Chalons-Reims | 67-77 | Orleans |
| 18/10/25 France Ligue B | Orleans | 83-55 | Chalons-Reims |
| 11/03/25 France Ligue B | Orleans | 78-59 | Chalons-Reims |
| 27/09/24 France Ligue B | Chalons-Reims | 83-90 | Orleans |
| 06/04/24 France Ligue B | Orleans | 86-90 | Chalons-Reims |
| 27/10/23 France Ligue B | Chalons-Reims | 69-89 | Orleans |
Standings · France Ligue B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Havre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 77 | 0 |
| 2 | Denain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 76 | 0 |
| 3 | La Rochelle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 88 | 0 |
| 4 | Evreux | 1 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 80 | 0 |
| 5 | Hyeres Toulon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 82 | 76 | 0 |
| 6 | Vichy Clermont | 1 | 1 | 0 | 101 | 97 | 0 |
| 7 | Caen Basket Calvados | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 91 | 0 |
| 8 | Levallois Basketball | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 77 | 0 |
| 9 | Antibes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Chalons-Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Orleans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | UJAP Quimper | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 79 | 0 |
| 14 | Rouen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 101 | 0 |
| 15 | Aix Maurienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 95 | 0 |
| 16 | Poitiers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 86 | 0 |
| 17 | Fos-sur-Mer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 82 | 0 |
| 18 | Gries-Souffel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 95 | 0 |
| 19 | Blois | 1 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 87 | 0 |
| 20 | Saint-Chamond | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 90 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orleans | Chalons-Reims |
|---|---|---|
| Pau-Orthez | 85-90 L | 78-79 L |
| Saint-Chamond | 96-88 W | 92-90 W |
| La Rochelle | 77-84 L | 90-69 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chalons-Reims (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orleans
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
85-90 | L |
| 03/06 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
72-90 | L |
| 27/05 | Vichy Clermont France Ligue B |
79-73 | W |
| 24/05 | Vichy Clermont France Ligue B |
71-56 | W |
| 15/05 | Gries-Souffel France Ligue B |
81-80 | W |
| 09/05 | Rouen France Ligue B |
72-84 | L |
| 05/05 | Saint-Chamond France Ligue B |
96-88 | W |
| 30/04 | Chalons-Reims France Ligue B |
77-67 | W |
| 26/04 | Vendee Challans Basket France Ligue B |
85-80 | W |
| 21/04 | La Rochelle France Ligue B |
77-84 | L |
Chalons-Reims
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
78-79 | L |
| 25/05 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
87-89 | L |
| 22/05 | La Rochelle France Ligue B |
90-69 | W |
| 19/05 | Denain France Ligue B |
62-60 | W |
| 15/05 | Aix Maurienne France Ligue B |
83-77 | W |
| 08/05 | Caen Basket Calvados France Ligue B |
99-75 | W |
| 30/04 | Orleans France Ligue B |
67-77 | L |
| 24/04 | Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B |
84-69 | W |
| 21/04 | Saint-Chamond France Ligue B |
92-90 | W |
| 17/04 | Pau-Orthez France Ligue B |
74-78 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orleans vs Chalons-Reims?
Our model gives 66% to Orleans.
How many points are expected in Orleans vs Chalons-Reims?
The model estimates 157.5 total points (Orleans 81.6 · Chalons-Reims 75.9).
Over or under 161.5 points?
Recent history points to under 161.5 points (68%).