Basketball · Iraq Premier League · 23/07, 18:00
Prediction: Al Hashd vs Al Difaa Aljawie
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.7Total
Al Hashd72
Al Difaa Aljawie77.8
1X2
Al Hashd
Al Difaa Aljawie
Recent form · 10 last
Al Hashd
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Al Difaa Aljawie
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Hashd
1–5
Al Difaa Aljawie
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Hashd 1535 · Al Difaa Aljawie 1604
| Al Hashd | Al Difaa Aljawie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.7 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -4.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.7Al Hashd 72 · Al Difaa Aljawie 77.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Difaa Aljawie (rating 1535 vs 1604).
- Al Difaa Aljawie is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Al Difaa Aljawie: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Al Hashd | Al Difaa Aljawie | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.1 / 66.8 | 91.9 / 62.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.6 / 67.4 | 90.2 / 69.2 |
| Est. result | 72 | 78 |
Est. total149.7
Line O/U154.5
Diff.4.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Hashd 1–0–5 Al Difaa Aljawie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/26 Iraq Premier League | Al Difaa Aljawie | 100-90 | Al Hashd |
| 23/01/25 Iraq Premier League | Al Hashd | 80-97 | Al Difaa Aljawie |
| 07/12/24 Iraq Premier League | Al Difaa Aljawie | 79-74 | Al Hashd |
| 15/12/23 Iraq Premier League | Al Difaa Aljawie | 91-87 | Al Hashd |
| 18/11/23 Iraq Premier League | Al Hashd | 89-83 | Al Difaa Aljawie |
| 16/01/23 Iraq Premier League | Al Hashd | 72-104 | Al Difaa Aljawie |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Hashd | Al Difaa Aljawie |
|---|---|---|
| Sabis SC | 65-58 W | 83-73 W |
| Degla Al Jameaa | 57-61 L | 77-66 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Difaa Aljawie (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Hashd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Al Difaa Aljawie Iraq Premier League |
90-100 | L |
| 03/06 | Sabis SC Iraq Premier League |
65-58 | W |
| 26/05 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Premier League |
83-61 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Yaqdha Iraq Premier League |
80-56 | W |
| 23/05 | Naft Missan Iraq Premier League |
80-62 | W |
| 22/05 | Al Hilla Iraq Premier League |
71-75 | L |
| 21/05 | Degla Al Jameaa Iraq Premier League |
57-61 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Premier League |
67-73 | L |
| 16/05 | Al Yaqdha Iraq Premier League |
85-62 | W |
| 14/05 | Naft Missan Iraq Premier League |
63-60 | W |
Al Difaa Aljawie
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Al Hashd Iraq Premier League |
100-90 | W |
| 03/06 | Degla Al Jameaa Iraq Premier League |
77-66 | W |
| 25/05 | Amal Nineveh Iraq Premier League |
116-61 | W |
| 24/05 | Naft Al Shamal Iraq Premier League |
89-59 | W |
| 23/05 | Zakho Iraq Premier League |
69-70 | L |
| 22/05 | Sabis SC Iraq Premier League |
83-73 | W |
| 21/05 | Gaz Al Shimal Iraq Premier League |
113-60 | W |
| 17/05 | Amal Nineveh Iraq Premier League |
124-67 | W |
| 16/05 | Naft Al Shamal Iraq Premier League |
90-34 | W |
| 14/05 | Zakho Iraq Premier League |
58-48 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Hashd vs Al Difaa Aljawie?
Our model gives 66% to Al Difaa Aljawie.
How many points are expected in Al Hashd vs Al Difaa Aljawie?
The model estimates 149.7 total points (Al Hashd 72 · Al Difaa Aljawie 77.8).