Basketball · Iraq Premier League · 20/07, 18:00
Prediction: Al Difaa Aljawie vs Al Hashd
Prediction summary
Estimated points
146.7Total
Al Difaa Aljawie80.3
Al Hashd66.4
1X2
Al Difaa Aljawie
Al Hashd
Markets
Under 149.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Difaa Aljawie
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Al Hashd
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Difaa Aljawie
4–2
Al Hashd
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Difaa Aljawie 1607 · Al Hashd 1548
| Al Difaa Aljawie | Al Hashd | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
146.7 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · -2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points146.7Al Difaa Aljawie 80.3 · Al Hashd 66.4
Over / Under 149.5Under · 80%recent trend · ~144 pts · strength 6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Difaa Aljawie (rating 1607 vs 1548).
- Al Difaa Aljawie is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Al Difaa Aljawie: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Al Difaa Aljawie | Al Hashd | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.3 / 60.3 | 72.2 / 63.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.8 / 65.8 | 75.8 / 62.4 |
| Est. result | 80 | 66 |
Est. total146.7
Line O/U149.5
Diff.2.8
Over / Under20% / 80%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Difaa Aljawie 4–0–2 Al Hashd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/25 Iraq Premier League | Al Hashd | 80-97 | Al Difaa Aljawie |
| 07/12/24 Iraq Premier League | Al Difaa Aljawie | 79-74 | Al Hashd |
| 15/12/23 Iraq Premier League | Al Difaa Aljawie | 91-87 | Al Hashd |
| 18/11/23 Iraq Premier League | Al Hashd | 89-83 | Al Difaa Aljawie |
| 16/01/23 Iraq Premier League | Al Hashd | 72-104 | Al Difaa Aljawie |
| 08/11/22 Iraq Premier League | Al Difaa Aljawie | 76-99 | Al Hashd |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Difaa Aljawie | Al Hashd |
|---|---|---|
| Degla Al Jameaa | 77-66 W | 57-61 L |
| Sabis SC | 83-73 W | 65-58 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Difaa Aljawie (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Difaa Aljawie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Degla Al Jameaa Iraq Premier League |
77-66 | W |
| 25/05 | Amal Nineveh Iraq Premier League |
116-61 | W |
| 24/05 | Naft Al Shamal Iraq Premier League |
89-59 | W |
| 23/05 | Zakho Iraq Premier League |
69-70 | L |
| 22/05 | Sabis SC Iraq Premier League |
83-73 | W |
| 21/05 | Gaz Al Shimal Iraq Premier League |
113-60 | W |
| 17/05 | Amal Nineveh Iraq Premier League |
124-67 | W |
| 16/05 | Naft Al Shamal Iraq Premier League |
90-34 | W |
| 14/05 | Zakho Iraq Premier League |
58-48 | W |
| 13/05 | Sabis SC Iraq Premier League |
74-65 | W |
Al Hashd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Sabis SC Iraq Premier League |
65-58 | W |
| 26/05 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Premier League |
83-61 | W |
| 25/05 | Al Yaqdha Iraq Premier League |
80-56 | W |
| 23/05 | Naft Missan Iraq Premier League |
80-62 | W |
| 22/05 | Al Hilla Iraq Premier League |
71-75 | L |
| 21/05 | Degla Al Jameaa Iraq Premier League |
57-61 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Kahrabaa Iraq Premier League |
67-73 | L |
| 16/05 | Al Yaqdha Iraq Premier League |
85-62 | W |
| 14/05 | Naft Missan Iraq Premier League |
63-60 | W |
| 13/05 | Al Hilla Iraq Premier League |
71-65 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Difaa Aljawie vs Al Hashd?
Our model gives 84% to Al Difaa Aljawie.
How many points are expected in Al Difaa Aljawie vs Al Hashd?
The model estimates 146.7 total points (Al Difaa Aljawie 80.3 · Al Hashd 66.4).
Over or under 149.5 points?
Recent history points to under 149.5 points (80%).