Basketball · Chile LNB · 23/07, 03:30
Prediction: ABA Ancud vs CD Castro
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.3Total
ABA Ancud88.7
CD Castro79.6
1X2
ABA Ancud
CD Castro
Recent form · 10 last
ABA Ancud
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
CD Castro
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ABA Ancud
5–1
CD Castro
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points168.3ABA Ancud 88.7 · CD Castro 79.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ABA Ancud (rating 1501 vs 1413).
- ABA Ancud is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours ABA Ancud: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| ABA Ancud | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.7 / 82.4 | 76.3 / 91.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.2 / 86.2 | 71.4 / 85.4 |
| Est. result | 89 | 80 |
Est. total168.3
Line O/U169.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · ABA Ancud 5–0–1 CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 104-85 | CD Castro |
| 11/04/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 87-83 | ABA Ancud |
| 17/03/24 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 73-75 | ABA Ancud |
| 10/03/24 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 84-82 | CD Castro |
| 12/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | ABA Ancud | 93-83 | CD Castro |
| 11/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | CD Castro | 77-93 | ABA Ancud |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espanol Osorno | 4 | 3 | 1 | 346 | 339 | 7 |
| 2 | ABA Ancud | 4 | 2 | 2 | 347 | 356 | 6 |
| 3 | Las Animas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 352 | 318 | 6 |
| 4 | Deportivo Valdivia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 295 | 214 | 6 |
| 5 | Puerto Varas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 298 | 337 | 6 |
| 6 | CD Castro | 4 | 1 | 3 | 288 | 335 | 5 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 165 | 177 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ABA Ancud | CD Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Las Animas | 96-88 W | 87-76 W |
| Puerto Varas | 90-84 W | 69-77 L |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 78-97 L | 54-90 L |
| Espanol Osorno | 83-87 L | 78-92 L |
| Puerto Montt | 90-88 W | 86-89 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: ABA Ancud (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ABA Ancud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
96-88 | W |
| 19/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
90-84 | W |
| 13/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
78-97 | L |
| 12/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
83-87 | L |
| 12/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
74-75 | L |
| 10/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
76-66 | W |
| 08/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
64-69 | L |
| 02/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
104-85 | W |
| 30/04 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
90-88 | W |
| 27/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
82-85 | L |
CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
69-77 | L |
| 19/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
87-76 | W |
| 13/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-92 | L |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
54-90 | L |
| 11/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
69-92 | L |
| 08/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
71-112 | L |
| 04/05 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
86-89 | L |
| 02/05 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
85-104 | L |
| 27/04 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
93-95 | L |
| 26/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
71-86 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ABA Ancud vs CD Castro?
Our model gives 74% to ABA Ancud.
How many points are expected in ABA Ancud vs CD Castro?
The model estimates 168.3 total points (ABA Ancud 88.7 · CD Castro 79.6).