Basketball · Australia NBL1 Central · 25/07, 12:00

Prediction: Sturt Sabres vs Central District Lions

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.8Total

Sturt Sabres89.5

Central District Lions86.3

1X2

59% 41%

Sturt Sabres Central District Lions

Recent form · 10 last

Sturt Sabres 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Central District Lions 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sturt Sabres 4–2 Central District Lions (6 last)

Sturt Sabres84-81Central District Lions
Central District Lions91-111Sturt Sabres
Central District Lions109-86Sturt Sabres

Model analysis

Estimated points175.8Sturt Sabres 89.5 · Central District Lions 86.3

Match keys

H2H favours Sturt Sabres: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sturt Sabres	Central District Lions
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.2 / 83.5	92.8 / 87.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	98.6 / 83	96.4 / 93.2
Est. result	90	86

Est. total175.8

Line O/U180.5

Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 180.51.88

Under 180.51.79

Diff.: 5.5 · Est. total: 175

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
2	2.83 → 2.83	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	2
11:44 +1’	1.33	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sturt Sabres 4–0–2 Central District Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Australia NBL1 Central	Sturt Sabres	84-81	Central District Lions
28/03/26 Australia NBL1 Central	Central District Lions	91-111	Sturt Sabres
14/06/25 Australia NBL1 Central	Central District Lions	109-86	Sturt Sabres
05/04/25 Australia NBL1 Central	Sturt Sabres	87-93	Central District Lions
29/06/24 Australia NBL1 Central	Sturt Sabres	120-108	Central District Lions
20/04/24 Australia NBL1 Central	Central District Lions	89-101	Sturt Sabres

Standings · Australia NBL1 Central

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Forestville Eagles	18	16	2	1743	1431
2	Sturt Sabres	18	15	3	1643	1507
3	South Adelaide Panthers	18	13	5	1756	1598
4	Woodville Warriors	18	10	8	1585	1520
5	Central District Lions	18	10	8	1662	1669
6	Norwood Flames	18	7	11	1555	1604
7	West Adelaide Bearcats	18	6	12	1630	1683
8	Eastern Mavericks	18	6	12	1609	1739
9	North Adelaide Rockets	18	5	13	1739	1896
10	Southern Tigers	18	2	16	1640	1915

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sturt Sabres	Central District Lions
South Adelaide Panthers	89-101 L	98-92 W
West Adelaide Bearcats	94-85 W	104-89 W
North Adelaide Rockets	104-83 W	90-87 W
Eastern Mavericks	115-79 W	82-75 W
Southern Tigers	91-67 W	113-86 W
Woodville Warriors	56-74 L	90-79 W
Norwood Flames	74-67 W	110-100 W
Forestville Eagles	76-95 L	80-106 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Central District Lions (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sturt Sabres

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	South Adelaide Panthers Australia NBL1 Central	89-101	L
11/07	West Adelaide Bearcats Australia NBL1 Central	94-85	W
04/07	North Adelaide Rockets Australia NBL1 Central	104-83	W
28/06	Eastern Mavericks Australia NBL1 Central	115-79	W
27/06	Southern Tigers Australia NBL1 Central	91-67	W
20/06	Woodville Warriors Australia NBL1 Central	56-74	L
13/06	Norwood Flames Australia NBL1 Central	74-67	W
31/05	Central District Lions Australia NBL1 Central	84-81	W
30/05	Forestville Eagles Australia NBL1 Central	76-95	L
23/05	South Adelaide Panthers Australia NBL1 Central	79-103	L

Central District Lions

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/07	Woodville Warriors Australia NBL1 Central	90-79	W
11/07	Norwood Flames Australia NBL1 Central	110-100	W
04/07	West Adelaide Bearcats Australia NBL1 Central	104-89	W
28/06	South Adelaide Panthers Australia NBL1 Central	98-92	W
27/06	Forestville Eagles Australia NBL1 Central	80-106	L
20/06	Eastern Mavericks Australia NBL1 Central	82-75	W
13/06	North Adelaide Rockets Australia NBL1 Central	90-87	W
31/05	Sturt Sabres Australia NBL1 Central	81-84	L
30/05	Woodville Warriors Australia NBL1 Central	80-77	W
23/05	Southern Tigers Australia NBL1 Central	113-86	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sturt Sabres vs Central District Lions?

Our model gives 59% to Sturt Sabres.

How many points are expected in Sturt Sabres vs Central District Lions?

The model estimates 175.8 total points (Sturt Sabres 89.5 · Central District Lions 86.3).