Basketball · Japan B League 1 · 25/09, 11:45
Prediction: Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169Total
Saga Ballooners86.1
Hiroshima Dragonflies82.9
1X2
Saga Ballooners
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Recent form · 10 last
Saga Ballooners
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Hiroshima Dragonflies
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saga Ballooners
2–4
Hiroshima Dragonflies
(6 last)
- Hiroshima Dragonflies91-79Saga Ballooners
- Hiroshima Dragonflies114-92Saga Ballooners
- Hiroshima Dragonflies48-72Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners74-79Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Saga Ballooners91-95Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Hiroshima Dragonflies81-90Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saga Ballooners 1545 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1473
| Saga Ballooners | Hiroshima Dragonflies | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
169 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169Saga Ballooners 86.1 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 82.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saga Ballooners (rating 1545 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Hiroshima Dragonflies: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Saga Ballooners | Hiroshima Dragonflies | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.8 / 79.7 | 81.1 / 85.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.4 / 79.2 | 80.6 / 87.4 |
| Est. result | 86 | 83 |
Est. total169
Line O/U164.5
Diff.4.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saga Ballooners 2–0–4 Hiroshima Dragonflies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Japan B League 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 91-79 | Saga Ballooners |
| 18/10/25 Japan B League 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 114-92 | Saga Ballooners |
| 13/09/25 Club Friendlies | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 48-72 | Saga Ballooners |
| 15/12/24 Japan B League 1 | Saga Ballooners | 74-79 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 14/12/24 Japan B League 1 | Saga Ballooners | 91-95 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 13/10/24 Japan B League 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 81-90 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League 1 · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 64 | 0 |
| 2 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 0 |
| 3 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kobe Storks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osaka Evessa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saga Ballooners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Shiga Lakes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Nagasaki Velca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 89 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League 1 |
87-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League 1 |
85-72 | W |
| 26/04 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
91-96 | L |
| 25/04 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
78-92 | L |
| 22/04 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1 |
71-66 | W |
| 19/04 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
103-68 | W |
| 18/04 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
83-74 | W |
| 15/04 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1 |
77-83 | L |
| 12/04 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
83-87 | L |
| 11/04 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
90-89 | W |
Hiroshima Dragonflies
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League 1 |
91-101 | L |
| 02/05 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League 1 |
89-96 | L |
| 26/04 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
74-88 | L |
| 25/04 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
68-83 | L |
| 22/04 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1 |
81-69 | W |
| 19/04 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1 |
72-73 | L |
| 18/04 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1 |
102-104 | L |
| 15/04 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
83-82 | W |
| 12/04 | Shibuya Sun Rockers Japan B League 1 |
79-88 | L |
| 11/04 | Shibuya Sun Rockers Japan B League 1 |
72-68 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?
Our model gives 59% to Saga Ballooners.
How many points are expected in Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?
The model estimates 169 total points (Saga Ballooners 86.1 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 82.9).