Basketball · Japan B League 1 · 27/09, 07:05
Prediction: Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies
Team pages: Saga Ballooners · Hiroshima Dragonflies
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.9Total
Saga Ballooners86.3
Hiroshima Dragonflies84.6
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Saga Ballooners
Hiroshima Dragonflies
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Saga Ballooners
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Hiroshima Dragonflies
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saga Ballooners
1–5
Hiroshima Dragonflies
(6 last)
- Saga Ballooners87-100Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Hiroshima Dragonflies91-79Saga Ballooners
- Hiroshima Dragonflies114-92Saga Ballooners
- Hiroshima Dragonflies48-72Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners74-79Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Saga Ballooners91-95Hiroshima Dragonflies
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saga Ballooners 1515 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1493
| Saga Ballooners | Hiroshima Dragonflies | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.9 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.9Saga Ballooners 86.3 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 84.6
Match keys
- H2H favours Hiroshima Dragonflies: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Saga Ballooners | Hiroshima Dragonflies | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.5 / 80.8 | 83.9 / 87.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.6 / 86 | 84.4 / 91 |
| Est. result | 86 | 85 |
Est. total170.9
Line O/U171.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saga Ballooners 1–0–5 Hiroshima Dragonflies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/26 Japan B League 1 | Saga Ballooners | 87-100 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 19/10/25 Japan B League 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 91-79 | Saga Ballooners |
| 18/10/25 Japan B League 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 114-92 | Saga Ballooners |
| 13/09/25 Club Friendlies | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 48-72 | Saga Ballooners |
| 15/12/24 Japan B League 1 | Saga Ballooners | 74-79 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 14/12/24 Japan B League 1 | Saga Ballooners | 91-95 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
Standings · Japan B League 1 · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 142 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 93 | 63 | 0 |
| 3 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 87 | 0 |
| 4 | Osaka Evessa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 69 | 0 |
| 5 | San En Neo Phoenix | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 82 | 0 |
| 6 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 94 | 0 |
| 7 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 95 | 0 |
| 9 | Mikawa Seahorses | 1 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 106 | 0 |
| 10 | Kobe Storks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 79 | 0 |
| 11 | Saga Ballooners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 100 | 0 |
| 12 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 99 | 0 |
| 13 | Nagasaki Velca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 142 | 174 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saga Ballooners
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
87-100 | L |
| 03/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League 1 |
87-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League 1 |
85-72 | W |
| 26/04 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
91-96 | L |
| 25/04 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
78-92 | L |
| 22/04 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1 |
71-66 | W |
| 19/04 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
103-68 | W |
| 18/04 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
83-74 | W |
| 15/04 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1 |
77-83 | L |
| 12/04 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
83-87 | L |
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1 |
100-87 | W |
| 03/05 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League 1 |
91-101 | L |
| 02/05 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League 1 |
89-96 | L |
| 26/04 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
74-88 | L |
| 25/04 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
68-83 | L |
| 22/04 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1 |
81-69 | W |
| 19/04 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1 |
72-73 | L |
| 18/04 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1 |
102-104 | L |
| 15/04 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
83-82 | W |
| 12/04 | Shibuya Sun Rockers Japan B League 1 |
79-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Saga Ballooners 55% · Hiroshima Dragonflies 45%).
How many points are expected in Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?
The model estimates 170.9 total points (Saga Ballooners 86.3 · Hiroshima Dragonflies 84.6).