Basketball · Japan B League 1 · 27/09, 06:00

Prediction: Ibaraki Robots vs San En Neo Phoenix

Team pages: Ibaraki Robots · San En Neo Phoenix

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.9Total

Ibaraki Robots82.9

San En Neo Phoenix85

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Ibaraki Robots San En Neo Phoenix

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ibaraki Robots 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLWWL

San En Neo Phoenix 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Ibaraki Robots 1–5 San En Neo Phoenix (6 last)

Ibaraki Robots82-90San En Neo Phoenix
Ibaraki Robots84-82San En Neo Phoenix
Ibaraki Robots71-89San En Neo Phoenix
San En Neo Phoenix100-89Ibaraki Robots
San En Neo Phoenix87-73Ibaraki Robots
San En Neo Phoenix96-62Ibaraki Robots

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ibaraki Robots 1469 · San En Neo Phoenix 1585

	Ibaraki Robots	San En Neo Phoenix
Our model	46%	54%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 167.9 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.9Ibaraki Robots 82.9 · San En Neo Phoenix 85

Match keys

H2H favours San En Neo Phoenix: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ibaraki Robots	San En Neo Phoenix
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.6 / 85.2	87.6 / 83.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.4 / 82	82.4 / 78
Est. result	83	85

Est. total167.9

Line O/U164.5

Diff.3.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.83

Under 164.51.83

Diff.: 3.5 · Est. total: 168

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.16
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.70 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	2
11:57 +2’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:19 +40’	2.15	1.69
17:56 +56’	2.11▼	1.71▲
19:37 +15’	2.16▲	1.68▼
00:40 +6’	2.18▲	1.67▼
01:03 +44’	2.20▲	1.68▲
03:28 +17’	2.22▲	1.68▼
05:32 +13’	2.16▼	1.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ibaraki Robots 1–0–5 San En Neo Phoenix

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 Japan B League 1	Ibaraki Robots	82-90	San En Neo Phoenix
05/04/26 Japan B League 1	Ibaraki Robots	84-82	San En Neo Phoenix
04/04/26 Japan B League 1	Ibaraki Robots	71-89	San En Neo Phoenix
27/10/24 Japan B League 1	San En Neo Phoenix	100-89	Ibaraki Robots
26/10/24 Japan B League 1	San En Neo Phoenix	87-73	Ibaraki Robots
12/11/23 Japan B League 1	San En Neo Phoenix	96-62	Ibaraki Robots

Standings · Japan B League 1 · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shimane Susanoo Magic	2	2	0	174	142
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	1	1	0	93	63
3	Hiroshima Dragonflies	1	1	0	100	87
4	Osaka Evessa	1	1	0	79	69
5	San En Neo Phoenix	1	1	0	90	82
6	Kyoto Hannaryz	1	1	0	95	94
7	Ryukyu Golden Kings	2	1	1	158	158
8	Shiga Lakes	1	0	1	94	95
9	Mikawa Seahorses	1	0	1	97	106
10	Kobe Storks	1	0	1	69	79
11	Saga Ballooners	1	0	1	87	100
12	Shinshu Brave Warriors	1	0	1	85	99
13	Nagasaki Velca	2	0	2	142	174

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ibaraki Robots

LLLLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League 1	82-90	L
03/05	Osaka Evessa Japan B League 1	91-79	W
02/05	Osaka Evessa Japan B League 1	87-81	W
26/04	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1	69-81	L
25/04	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1	88-79	W
22/04	Altiri Chiba Japan B League 1	79-66	W
19/04	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	103-109	L
18/04	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1	69-90	L
15/04	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League 1	70-87	L
12/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	58-90	L

San En Neo Phoenix

WWLWWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League 1	90-82	W
03/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1	93-79	W
02/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1	89-66	W
26/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1	73-76	L
25/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1	67-87	L
22/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League 1	94-86	W
19/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	86-68	W
18/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	82-102	L
15/04	Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1	98-91	W
12/04	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	104-99	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ibaraki Robots vs San En Neo Phoenix?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ibaraki Robots 44% · San En Neo Phoenix 56%).

How many points are expected in Ibaraki Robots vs San En Neo Phoenix?

The model estimates 167.9 total points (Ibaraki Robots 82.9 · San En Neo Phoenix 85).