Prediction: Nagasaki Velca vs Shimane Susanoo Magic
Team pages: Nagasaki Velca · Shimane Susanoo Magic
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Nagasaki Velca106-74Shimane Susanoo Magic
- Shimane Susanoo Magic101-93Nagasaki Velca
- Shimane Susanoo Magic72-63Nagasaki Velca
- Nagasaki Velca96-74Shimane Susanoo Magic
- Nagasaki Velca69-78Shimane Susanoo Magic
- Nagasaki Velca77-73Shimane Susanoo Magic
| Nagasaki Velca | Shimane Susanoo Magic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nagasaki Velca | Shimane Susanoo Magic | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.9 / 74.3 | 76.6 / 82.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 72.4 | 78.6 / 87.6 |
| Est. result | 82 | 80 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagasaki Velca 3–0–3 Shimane Susanoo Magic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Japan B League 1 | Nagasaki Velca | 106-74 | Shimane Susanoo Magic |
| 24/12/25 Japan B League 1 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 101-93 | Nagasaki Velca |
| 09/04/25 Japan B League 1 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 72-63 | Nagasaki Velca |
| 02/02/25 Japan B League 1 | Nagasaki Velca | 96-74 | Shimane Susanoo Magic |
| 01/02/25 Japan B League 1 | Nagasaki Velca | 69-78 | Shimane Susanoo Magic |
| 18/12/24 Japan B League 1 | Nagasaki Velca | 77-73 | Shimane Susanoo Magic |
Standings · Japan B League 1 · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 64 | 0 |
| 2 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 0 |
| 3 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kobe Storks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osaka Evessa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saga Ballooners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Shiga Lakes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Nagasaki Velca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 89 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nagasaki Velca | Shimane Susanoo Magic |
|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Alvark | 96-56 W | 68-70 L |
| Kyoto Hannaryz | 63-84 L | 76-75 W |
| Fighting Eagles Nagoya | 91-69 W | 68-90 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nagasaki Velca (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagasaki Velca
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
72-64 | W |
| 24/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
66-60 | W |
| 23/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1 |
69-71 | L |
| 16/05 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
102-93 | W |
| 15/05 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
82-74 | W |
| 08/05 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1 |
96-56 | W |
| 07/05 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1 |
93-78 | W |
| 03/05 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
63-84 | L |
| 02/05 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
105-94 | W |
| 26/04 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
91-69 | W |
Shimane Susanoo Magic
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
68-90 | L |
| 02/05 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
91-85 | W |
| 26/04 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League 1 |
81-69 | W |
| 25/04 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League 1 |
79-88 | L |
| 22/04 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
74-106 | L |
| 19/04 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
73-72 | W |
| 18/04 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
104-102 | W |
| 15/04 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
76-75 | W |
| 12/04 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1 |
68-70 | L |
| 11/04 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League 1 |
52-65 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagasaki Velca vs Shimane Susanoo Magic?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nagasaki Velca 55% · Shimane Susanoo Magic 45%).
How many points are expected in Nagasaki Velca vs Shimane Susanoo Magic?
The model estimates 162.3 total points (Nagasaki Velca 82 · Shimane Susanoo Magic 80.3).