Basketball · Japan B League 1 · 26/09, 08:05

Prediction: Gunma Crane Thunders vs Altiri Chiba

Team pages: Gunma Crane Thunders · Altiri Chiba

Prediction summary

Estimated points

159Total

Gunma Crane Thunders86.2

Altiri Chiba72.8

1X2

83% 17%

Gunma Crane Thunders Altiri Chiba

Recent form · 10 last

Gunma Crane Thunders 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Altiri Chiba 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gunma Crane Thunders 3–0 Altiri Chiba (3 last)

Gunma Crane Thunders76-74Altiri Chiba
Gunma Crane Thunders84-59Altiri Chiba
Altiri Chiba79-88Gunma Crane Thunders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gunma Crane Thunders 1620 · Altiri Chiba 1445

	Gunma Crane Thunders	Altiri Chiba
Our model	82%	18%
Market	83%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 159 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points159Gunma Crane Thunders 86.2 · Altiri Chiba 72.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gunma Crane Thunders (rating 1620 vs 1445).
Gunma Crane Thunders is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours Gunma Crane Thunders: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Gunma Crane Thunders	Altiri Chiba
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.4 / 74.7	79.2 / 83.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.4 / 77	79.6 / 86.8
Est. result	86	73

Est. total159

Line O/U159.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 159.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
17:48 +7’	1.13	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gunma Crane Thunders 3–0–0 Altiri Chiba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/26 Japan B League 1	Gunma Crane Thunders	76-74	Altiri Chiba
01/04/26 Japan B League 1	Gunma Crane Thunders	84-59	Altiri Chiba
05/11/25 Japan B League 1	Altiri Chiba	79-88	Gunma Crane Thunders

Standings · Japan B League 1 · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Chiba Jets	1	1	0	97	92
2	Gunma Crane Thunders	1	1	0	76	74
3	Tokyo Alvark	2	1	1	158	158
4	Akita Northern Happinets	0	0	0	0	0
4	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	0	0	0	0	0
4	Levanga Hokkaido	0	0	0	0	0
4	Sendai 89ers	0	0	0	0	0
4	Toyama Grouses	0	0	0	0	0
4	Utsunomiya Brex	0	0	0	0	0
4	Yokohama B-Corsairs	0	0	0	0	0
11	Altiri Chiba	1	0	1	74	76
12	Tokyo Sun Rockers	1	0	1	92	97
13	Ibaraki Robots	1	0	1	82	90

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gunma Crane Thunders	Altiri Chiba
Chiba Jets	68-72 L	87-96 L
Levanga Hokkaido	81-83 L	89-90 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gunma Crane Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/09	Altiri Chiba Japan B League 1	76-74	W
11/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	68-72	L
10/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	79-85	L
09/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	87-68	W
03/05	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	87-86	W
02/05	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	83-82	W
26/04	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	81-83	L
25/04	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	105-65	W
22/04	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1	84-66	W
19/04	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1	74-66	W

Altiri Chiba

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/09	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League 1	74-76	L
03/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	87-96	L
02/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	81-98	L
26/04	Shibuya Sun Rockers Japan B League 1	87-85	W
25/04	Shibuya Sun Rockers Japan B League 1	69-79	L
22/04	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League 1	66-79	L
19/04	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League 1	75-74	W
18/04	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League 1	83-65	W
15/04	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	89-90	L
12/04	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	81-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gunma Crane Thunders vs Altiri Chiba?

Our model gives 83% to Gunma Crane Thunders.

How many points are expected in Gunma Crane Thunders vs Altiri Chiba?

The model estimates 159 total points (Gunma Crane Thunders 86.2 · Altiri Chiba 72.8).