Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 18/10, 07:05

Prediction: Toyama Grouses vs Mikawa Seahorses

Team pages: Toyama Grouses · Mikawa Seahorses

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.8Total

Toyama Grouses83.2

Mikawa Seahorses85.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

Toyama Grouses Mikawa Seahorses

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Toyama Grouses 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Mikawa Seahorses 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Toyama Grouses 0–6 Mikawa Seahorses (6 last)

Mikawa Seahorses103-69Toyama Grouses
Mikawa Seahorses83-70Toyama Grouses
Toyama Grouses85-90Mikawa Seahorses
Mikawa Seahorses74-65Toyama Grouses
Mikawa Seahorses72-53Toyama Grouses
Mikawa Seahorses90-77Toyama Grouses

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toyama Grouses 1532 · Mikawa Seahorses 1507

	Toyama Grouses	Mikawa Seahorses
Our model	66%	34%
Market	37%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 168.8 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.8Toyama Grouses 83.2 · Mikawa Seahorses 85.6

Match keys

H2H favours Mikawa Seahorses: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Toyama Grouses	Mikawa Seahorses
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.2 / 85.2	83.3 / 81.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.2 / 82.2	86.8 / 75.4
Est. result	83	86

Est. total168.8

Line O/U169.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.83

2 (-4.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 0.2 · Est. total: 169.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 3.00 ★
2	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
18:37 +15’	2.55	1.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:13 +39’	3.00	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Toyama Grouses 0–0–6 Mikawa Seahorses

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	103-69	Toyama Grouses
07/03/26 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	83-70	Toyama Grouses
22/09/24 Japan Emperor Cup	Toyama Grouses	85-90	Mikawa Seahorses
07/02/24 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	74-65	Toyama Grouses
17/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	72-53	Toyama Grouses
16/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Mikawa Seahorses	90-77	Toyama Grouses

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	7	7	0	658	555
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	5	5	0	448	372
3	San En Neo Phoenix	5	5	0	444	388
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	7	5	2	582	555
5	Mikawa Seahorses	6	4	2	531	483
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	7	3	4	564	575
7	Shiga Lakes	7	3	4	645	617
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	7	3	4	569	587
9	Nagasaki Velca	8	3	5	575	642
10	Kobe Storks	7	2	5	538	591
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	8	2	6	674	703
12	Osaka Evessa	7	1	6	496	596
13	Saga Ballooners	8	1	7	607	727

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Toyama Grouses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	94-74	W
09/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-90	W
07/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	77-81	L
04/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-99	L
03/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	77-67	W
27/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	81-99	L
26/09	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League 1	99-85	W
03/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	101-91	W
02/05	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	96-89	W
26/04	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	94-77	W

Mikawa Seahorses

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	89-81	W
09/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	90-105	L
04/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	101-57	W
03/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	76-57	W
27/09	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	78-77	W
26/09	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1	97-106	L
09/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	79-82	L
08/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	65-79	L
03/05	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League Premier	75-98	L
02/05	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League Premier	83-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toyama Grouses vs Mikawa Seahorses?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Toyama Grouses 43% · Mikawa Seahorses 57%).

How many points are expected in Toyama Grouses vs Mikawa Seahorses?

The model estimates 168.8 total points (Toyama Grouses 83.2 · Mikawa Seahorses 85.6).