Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 18/10, 07:35
Prediction: Kyoto Hannaryz vs Saga Ballooners
Team pages: Kyoto Hannaryz · Saga Ballooners
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.7Total
Kyoto Hannaryz87.4
Saga Ballooners79.3
1X2
Kyoto Hannaryz
Saga Ballooners
Recent form · 10 last
Kyoto Hannaryz
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Saga Ballooners
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kyoto Hannaryz
4–2
Saga Ballooners
(6 last)
- Saga Ballooners83-87Kyoto Hannaryz
- Saga Ballooners90-89Kyoto Hannaryz
- Kyoto Hannaryz85-74Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners78-81Kyoto Hannaryz
- Kyoto Hannaryz71-77Saga Ballooners
- Kyoto Hannaryz70-48Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyoto Hannaryz 1525 · Saga Ballooners 1444
| Kyoto Hannaryz | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.7 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.7Kyoto Hannaryz 87.4 · Saga Ballooners 79.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyoto Hannaryz (rating 1525 vs 1444).
- Kyoto Hannaryz is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Kyoto Hannaryz: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Kyoto Hannaryz | Saga Ballooners | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.3 / 81.5 | 77.9 / 86.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82 / 76 | 79.6 / 88.2 |
| Est. result | 87 | 79 |
Est. total166.7
Line O/U165.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyoto Hannaryz 4–0–2 Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 83-87 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
| 11/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 90-89 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
| 16/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Kyoto Hannaryz | 85-74 | Saga Ballooners |
| 29/01/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 78-81 | Kyoto Hannaryz |
| 06/10/24 Japan B League Premier | Kyoto Hannaryz | 71-77 | Saga Ballooners |
| 05/10/24 Japan B League Premier | Kyoto Hannaryz | 70-48 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 7 | 7 | 0 | 658 | 555 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 5 | 5 | 0 | 448 | 372 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 5 | 5 | 0 | 444 | 388 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 582 | 555 | 0 |
| 5 | Mikawa Seahorses | 6 | 4 | 2 | 531 | 483 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 7 | 3 | 4 | 564 | 575 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 7 | 3 | 4 | 645 | 617 | 0 |
| 8 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 7 | 3 | 4 | 569 | 587 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 8 | 3 | 5 | 575 | 642 | 0 |
| 10 | Kobe Storks | 7 | 2 | 5 | 538 | 591 | 0 |
| 11 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 8 | 2 | 6 | 674 | 703 | 0 |
| 12 | Osaka Evessa | 7 | 1 | 6 | 496 | 596 | 0 |
| 13 | Saga Ballooners | 8 | 1 | 7 | 607 | 727 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyoto Hannaryz
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
81-89 | L |
| 09/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
74-73 | W |
| 07/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
81-77 | W |
| 04/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
90-65 | W |
| 03/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
84-76 | W |
| 27/09 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
77-81 | L |
| 25/09 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1 |
95-94 | W |
| 03/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
84-63 | W |
| 02/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
94-105 | L |
| 26/04 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
83-92 | L |
Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
90-109 | L |
| 12/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
61-72 | L |
| 10/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
84-77 | W |
| 08/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
| 04/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
89-93 | L |
| 03/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
61-97 | L |
| 27/09 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
61-89 | L |
| 25/09 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
87-100 | L |
| 03/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
87-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
85-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyoto Hannaryz vs Saga Ballooners?
Our model gives 72% to Kyoto Hannaryz.
How many points are expected in Kyoto Hannaryz vs Saga Ballooners?
The model estimates 166.7 total points (Kyoto Hannaryz 87.4 · Saga Ballooners 79.3).