Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 19/10, 12:05

Prediction: Hiroshima Dragonflies vs San En Neo Phoenix

Team pages: Hiroshima Dragonflies · San En Neo Phoenix

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169Total

Hiroshima Dragonflies86.1

San En Neo Phoenix82.9

1X2

59% 41%

Hiroshima Dragonflies San En Neo Phoenix

Markets

Under 173.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Hiroshima Dragonflies 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWWW

San En Neo Phoenix 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Hiroshima Dragonflies 3–3 San En Neo Phoenix (6 last)

San En Neo Phoenix91-88Hiroshima Dragonflies
Hiroshima Dragonflies84-72San En Neo Phoenix
San En Neo Phoenix80-73Hiroshima Dragonflies
San En Neo Phoenix96-84Hiroshima Dragonflies
San En Neo Phoenix66-69Hiroshima Dragonflies
San En Neo Phoenix70-77Hiroshima Dragonflies

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1569 · San En Neo Phoenix 1601

	Hiroshima Dragonflies	San En Neo Phoenix
Our model	58%	42%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 169 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169Hiroshima Dragonflies 86.1 · San En Neo Phoenix 82.9

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Hiroshima Dragonflies	San En Neo Phoenix
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.2 / 84	86 / 78.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.8 / 81.4	88.8 / 77.6
Est. result	86	83

Est. total169

Line O/U173.5

Diff.4.5

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.83

2 (+3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 169.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
16:45 +7’	1.55	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroshima Dragonflies 3–0–3 San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	91-88	Hiroshima Dragonflies
05/11/25 Japan B League Premier	Hiroshima Dragonflies	84-72	San En Neo Phoenix
03/11/24 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	80-73	Hiroshima Dragonflies
02/11/24 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	96-84	Hiroshima Dragonflies
12/05/24 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	66-69	Hiroshima Dragonflies
11/05/24 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	70-77	Hiroshima Dragonflies

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	7	7	0	658	555
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	5	5	0	448	372
3	San En Neo Phoenix	5	5	0	444	388
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	7	5	2	582	555
5	Mikawa Seahorses	6	4	2	531	483
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	7	3	4	564	575
7	Shiga Lakes	7	3	4	645	617
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	7	3	4	569	587
9	Nagasaki Velca	8	3	5	575	642
10	Kobe Storks	7	2	5	538	591
11	Shinshu Brave Warriors	8	2	6	674	703
12	Osaka Evessa	7	1	6	496	596
13	Saga Ballooners	8	1	7	607	727

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hiroshima Dragonflies	San En Neo Phoenix
Ibaraki Robots	90-86 W	81-75 W
Saga Ballooners	89-61 W	93-89 W
Toyama Grouses	91-101 L	94-86 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: San En Neo Phoenix (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hiroshima Dragonflies

LLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	89-71	W
10/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	111-105	W
07/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-86	W
04/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	83-72	W
02/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	96-73	W
27/09	Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1	89-61	W
25/09	Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1	100-87	W
03/05	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	91-101	L
02/05	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	89-96	L
26/04	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	74-88	L

San En Neo Phoenix

WLLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	83-81	W
04/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	93-89	W
03/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	97-61	W
27/09	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	81-75	W
25/09	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League 1	90-82	W
03/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	93-79	W
02/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	89-66	W
26/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	73-76	L
25/04	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	67-87	L
22/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	94-86	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs San En Neo Phoenix?

Our model gives 59% to Hiroshima Dragonflies.

How many points are expected in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs San En Neo Phoenix?

The model estimates 169 total points (Hiroshima Dragonflies 86.1 · San En Neo Phoenix 82.9).