Basketball · Japan B League 1 · 22/09, 07:00
Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Ryukyu Golden Kings
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.3Total
Tokyo Alvark81.8
Ryukyu Golden Kings80.4
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Tokyo Alvark
Ryukyu Golden Kings
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Alvark
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Ryukyu Golden Kings
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Alvark
1–5
Ryukyu Golden Kings
(6 last)
- Tokyo Alvark76-77Ryukyu Golden Kings
- Ryukyu Golden Kings82-76Tokyo Alvark
- Ryukyu Golden Kings83-68Tokyo Alvark
- Tokyo Alvark49-60Ryukyu Golden Kings
- Tokyo Alvark58-83Ryukyu Golden Kings
- Tokyo Alvark87-67Ryukyu Golden Kings
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1526 · Ryukyu Golden Kings 1561
| Tokyo Alvark | Ryukyu Golden Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.3 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.3Tokyo Alvark 81.8 · Ryukyu Golden Kings 80.4
Match keys
- H2H favours Ryukyu Golden Kings: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tokyo Alvark | Ryukyu Golden Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.6 / 83.2 | 80.1 / 73.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.6 / 93.4 | 74 / 69.2 |
| Est. result | 82 | 80 |
Est. total162.3
Line O/U158.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 1–0–5 Ryukyu Golden Kings
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 East Asia Super League | Tokyo Alvark | 76-77 | Ryukyu Golden Kings |
| 12/10/25 Japan B League 1 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 82-76 | Tokyo Alvark |
| 11/10/25 Japan B League 1 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 83-68 | Tokyo Alvark |
| 15/03/25 Japan Emperor Cup | Tokyo Alvark | 49-60 | Ryukyu Golden Kings |
| 02/02/25 Japan B League 1 | Tokyo Alvark | 58-83 | Ryukyu Golden Kings |
| 01/02/25 Japan B League 1 | Tokyo Alvark | 87-67 | Ryukyu Golden Kings |
Standings · Japan B League 1 · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kobe Storks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nagasaki Velca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Osaka Evessa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Saga Ballooners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San En Neo Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mikawa Seahorses | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shiga Lakes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Alvark
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
56-96 | L |
| 07/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
78-93 | L |
| 03/05 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1 |
96-97 | L |
| 02/05 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1 |
111-104 | W |
| 26/04 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1 |
87-77 | W |
| 25/04 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1 |
101-74 | W |
| 22/04 | Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League 1 |
92-71 | W |
| 19/04 | Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League 1 |
79-69 | W |
| 18/04 | Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League 1 |
73-66 | W |
| 15/04 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1 |
83-85 | L |
Ryukyu Golden Kings
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
64-72 | L |
| 24/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
60-66 | L |
| 23/05 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League 1 |
71-69 | W |
| 16/05 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1 |
90-74 | W |
| 15/05 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League 1 |
85-65 | W |
| 09/05 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1 |
82-79 | W |
| 08/05 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1 |
79-65 | W |
| 03/05 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1 |
92-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1 |
82-83 | L |
| 26/04 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1 |
96-91 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Ryukyu Golden Kings?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tokyo Alvark 54% · Ryukyu Golden Kings 46%).
How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Ryukyu Golden Kings?
The model estimates 162.3 total points (Tokyo Alvark 81.8 · Ryukyu Golden Kings 80.4).