Basketball · Japan B League 1 · 26/09, 11:05

Prediction: Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.1Total

Kanagawa Brave Thunders77.3

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins83.8

1X2

32% 68%

Kanagawa Brave Thunders Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Recent form · 10 last

Kanagawa Brave Thunders 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kanagawa Brave Thunders 0–6 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (6 last)

Kanagawa Brave Thunders73-90Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Kanagawa Brave Thunders72-86Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Kanagawa Brave Thunders70-73Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins95-84Kanagawa Brave Thunders
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins94-87Kanagawa Brave Thunders
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins82-62Kanagawa Brave Thunders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kanagawa Brave Thunders 1429 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1518

	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Our model	50%	50%
Market	28%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 161.1 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.1Kanagawa Brave Thunders 77.3 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 83.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1429 vs 1518).
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.9 / 88.3	74.1 / 83.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	79.2 / 82.8	76.4 / 83.2
Est. result	77	84

Est. total161.1

Line O/U161.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.35

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.83

2 (-7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.83

Under 161.51.83

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 161.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.35 → 3.35	Bet365 3.35
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	2
17:48 +8’	3.35	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kanagawa Brave Thunders 0–0–6 Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/10/25 Japan B League 1	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	73-90	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
18/10/25 Japan B League 1	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	72-86	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
09/04/25 Japan B League 1	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	70-73	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
18/12/24 Japan B League 1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	95-84	Kanagawa Brave Thunders
13/10/24 Japan B League 1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	94-87	Kanagawa Brave Thunders
12/10/24 Japan B League 1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	82-62	Kanagawa Brave Thunders

Standings · Japan B League 1 · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Shimane Susanoo Magic	2	2	0	174	142
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	1	1	0	100	87
3	San En Neo Phoenix	1	1	0	90	82
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	1	1	0	95	94
5	Ryukyu Golden Kings	2	1	1	158	158
6	Kobe Storks	0	0	0	0	0
6	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	0	0	0	0	0
6	Osaka Evessa	0	0	0	0	0
6	Mikawa Seahorses	0	0	0	0	0
6	Shinshu Brave Warriors	0	0	0	0	0
11	Shiga Lakes	1	0	1	94	95
12	Saga Ballooners	1	0	1	87	100
13	Nagasaki Velca	2	0	2	142	174

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kanagawa Brave Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/05	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	88-84	W
02/05	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	74-71	W
26/04	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League 1	79-89	L
25/04	Koshigaya Alphas Japan B League 1	84-90	L
22/04	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	71-80	L
19/04	Osaka Evessa Japan B League 1	93-103	L
18/04	Osaka Evessa Japan B League 1	76-98	L
15/04	Chiba Jets Japan B League 1	63-84	L
12/04	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League 1	64-87	L
11/04	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League 1	77-97	L

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	74-90	L
15/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	65-85	L
10/05	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1	75-66	W
09/05	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1	89-82	W
03/05	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League 1	79-93	L
02/05	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League 1	66-89	L
26/04	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1	74-90	L
25/04	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League 1	69-87	L
22/04	Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1	66-71	L
19/04	Shiga Lakes Japan B League 1	84-86	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

Our model gives 68% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.

How many points are expected in Kanagawa Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

The model estimates 161.1 total points (Kanagawa Brave Thunders 77.3 · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 83.8).