Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 16/10, 12:05
Prediction: Saga Ballooners vs Levanga Hokkaido
Team pages: Saga Ballooners · Levanga Hokkaido
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.7Total
Saga Ballooners85.1
Levanga Hokkaido90.5
1X2
Saga Ballooners
Levanga Hokkaido
Recent form · 10 last
Saga Ballooners
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Levanga Hokkaido
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saga Ballooners
4–2
Levanga Hokkaido
(6 last)
- Saga Ballooners79-76Levanga Hokkaido
- Levanga Hokkaido95-93Saga Ballooners
- Saga Ballooners89-73Levanga Hokkaido
- Saga Ballooners78-98Levanga Hokkaido
- Levanga Hokkaido72-87Saga Ballooners
- Levanga Hokkaido52-81Saga Ballooners
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saga Ballooners 1468 · Levanga Hokkaido 1466
| Saga Ballooners | Levanga Hokkaido | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.7 points · Bet365 line 179.5 · -3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.7Saga Ballooners 85.1 · Levanga Hokkaido 90.5
Match keys
- Levanga Hokkaido is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Saga Ballooners: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Saga Ballooners | Levanga Hokkaido | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78 / 85.6 | 92.6 / 96.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.8 / 85.8 | 94.2 / 95.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 91 |
Est. total175.7
Line O/U179.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saga Ballooners 4–0–2 Levanga Hokkaido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 79-76 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 12/11/25 Japan B League Premier | Levanga Hokkaido | 95-93 | Saga Ballooners |
| 13/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 89-73 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 12/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Saga Ballooners | 78-98 | Levanga Hokkaido |
| 03/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Levanga Hokkaido | 72-87 | Saga Ballooners |
| 02/03/24 Japan B League Premier | Levanga Hokkaido | 52-81 | Saga Ballooners |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 6 | 6 | 0 | 569 | 484 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 5 | 5 | 0 | 448 | 372 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 5 | 5 | 0 | 444 | 388 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 582 | 555 | 0 |
| 5 | Mikawa Seahorses | 6 | 4 | 2 | 531 | 483 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 6 | 3 | 3 | 479 | 488 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 491 | 490 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 7 | 3 | 4 | 645 | 617 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 7 | 3 | 4 | 512 | 547 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 7 | 2 | 5 | 579 | 601 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 7 | 2 | 5 | 538 | 591 | 0 |
| 12 | Osaka Evessa | 7 | 1 | 6 | 496 | 596 | 0 |
| 13 | Saga Ballooners | 7 | 1 | 6 | 517 | 618 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saga Ballooners | Levanga Hokkaido |
|---|---|---|
| Gunma Crane Thunders | 61-72 L | 83-81 W |
| Tokyo Alvark | 74-90 L | 97-96 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Levanga Hokkaido (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saga Ballooners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
61-72 | L |
| 10/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
84-77 | W |
| 08/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-90 | L |
| 04/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
89-93 | L |
| 03/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
61-97 | L |
| 27/09 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
61-89 | L |
| 25/09 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League 1 |
87-100 | L |
| 03/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
87-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
85-72 | W |
| 26/04 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
91-96 | L |
Levanga Hokkaido
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
103-109 | L |
| 07/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
83-95 | L |
| 04/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
100-89 | W |
| 03/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
108-105 | W |
| 27/09 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
77-78 | L |
| 26/09 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League 1 |
106-97 | W |
| 03/05 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
97-96 | W |
| 02/05 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
104-111 | L |
| 26/04 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
83-81 | W |
| 25/04 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
65-105 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saga Ballooners vs Levanga Hokkaido?
Our model gives 65% to Levanga Hokkaido.
How many points are expected in Saga Ballooners vs Levanga Hokkaido?
The model estimates 175.7 total points (Saga Ballooners 85.1 · Levanga Hokkaido 90.5).