Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 17/10, 10:05
Prediction: Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Nagasaki Velca
Team pages: Tokyo Sun Rockers · Nagasaki Velca
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.4Total
Tokyo Sun Rockers79.6
Nagasaki Velca77.8
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Tokyo Sun Rockers
Nagasaki Velca
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Tokyo Sun Rockers
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Nagasaki Velca
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokyo Sun Rockers
1–5
Nagasaki Velca
(6 last)
- Nagasaki Velca85-71Tokyo Sun Rockers
- Nagasaki Velca102-70Tokyo Sun Rockers
- Tokyo Sun Rockers69-92Nagasaki Velca
- Tokyo Sun Rockers76-85Nagasaki Velca
- Nagasaki Velca53-58Tokyo Sun Rockers
- Nagasaki Velca76-68Tokyo Sun Rockers
Model analysis
Estimated points157.4Tokyo Sun Rockers 79.6 · Nagasaki Velca 77.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Nagasaki Velca: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tokyo Sun Rockers | Nagasaki Velca | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.2 / 80.6 | 71.9 / 74.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.2 / 78 | 74 / 74.6 |
| Est. result | 80 | 78 |
Est. total157.4
Line O/U156.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Sun Rockers 1–0–5 Nagasaki Velca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 85-71 | Tokyo Sun Rockers |
| 20/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 102-70 | Tokyo Sun Rockers |
| 19/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 69-92 | Nagasaki Velca |
| 18/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Tokyo Sun Rockers | 76-85 | Nagasaki Velca |
| 05/10/24 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 53-58 | Tokyo Sun Rockers |
| 04/10/24 Japan B League Premier | Nagasaki Velca | 76-68 | Tokyo Sun Rockers |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 6 | 6 | 0 | 569 | 484 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 5 | 5 | 0 | 448 | 372 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 5 | 5 | 0 | 444 | 388 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 582 | 555 | 0 |
| 5 | Mikawa Seahorses | 6 | 4 | 2 | 531 | 483 | 0 |
| 6 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 6 | 3 | 3 | 491 | 490 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 7 | 3 | 4 | 645 | 617 | 0 |
| 8 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 7 | 3 | 4 | 564 | 575 | 0 |
| 9 | Nagasaki Velca | 7 | 3 | 4 | 512 | 547 | 0 |
| 10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 7 | 2 | 5 | 579 | 601 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 7 | 2 | 5 | 538 | 591 | 0 |
| 12 | Osaka Evessa | 7 | 1 | 6 | 496 | 596 | 0 |
| 13 | Saga Ballooners | 8 | 1 | 7 | 607 | 727 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokyo Sun Rockers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
68-70 | L |
| 09/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
90-96 | L |
| 07/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
92-85 | W |
| 04/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
86-76 | W |
| 03/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
90-63 | W |
| 26/09 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
95-79 | W |
| 25/09 | Chiba Jets Japan B League 1 |
92-97 | L |
| 03/05 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
73-65 | W |
| 02/05 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
81-88 | L |
| 26/04 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
85-87 | L |
Nagasaki Velca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
85-69 | W |
| 10/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
70-59 | W |
| 08/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
74-71 | W |
| 04/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
65-90 | L |
| 03/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
76-84 | L |
| 25/09 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
78-85 | L |
| 23/09 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1 |
64-89 | L |
| 26/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
72-64 | W |
| 24/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
66-60 | W |
| 23/05 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
69-71 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Nagasaki Velca?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Tokyo Sun Rockers 55% · Nagasaki Velca 45%).
How many points are expected in Tokyo Sun Rockers vs Nagasaki Velca?
The model estimates 157.4 total points (Tokyo Sun Rockers 79.6 · Nagasaki Velca 77.8).