Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 22/07, 01:15
Prediction: Olivol Mundial vs Olimpia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.2Total
Olivol Mundial72.9
Olimpia78.3
1X2
Olivol Mundial
Olimpia
Recent form · 10 last
Olivol Mundial
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Olimpia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olivol Mundial
2–3
Olimpia
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olivol Mundial 1437 · Olimpia 1569
| Olivol Mundial | Olimpia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.2 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.2Olivol Mundial 72.9 · Olimpia 78.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpia (rating 1437 vs 1569).
- Olimpia is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Olimpia: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Olivol Mundial | Olimpia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 66.6 / 75.8 | 85.7 / 76.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 62.8 / 72 | 79.6 / 69.8 |
| Est. result | 73 | 78 |
Est. total151.2
Line O/U151.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olivol Mundial 2–0–3 Olimpia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olimpia | 77-79 | Olivol Mundial |
| 06/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olivol Mundial | 75-82 | Olimpia |
| 12/07/23 Uruguay Metro League | Olimpia | 79-68 | Olivol Mundial |
| 12/02/22 Uruguay Liga | Olivol Mundial | 69-62 | Olimpia |
| 18/11/21 Uruguay Liga | Olimpia | 92-77 | Olivol Mundial |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 10 | 9 | 1 | 862 | 694 | 19 |
| 2 | Tabare | 10 | 8 | 2 | 821 | 721 | 18 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 10 | 8 | 2 | 857 | 762 | 18 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 10 | 7 | 3 | 767 | 673 | 17 |
| 5 | Verdirrojo | 10 | 6 | 4 | 766 | 727 | 16 |
| 6 | Sayago | 10 | 6 | 4 | 804 | 770 | 16 |
| 7 | Urupan de Pando | 9 | 5 | 4 | 727 | 715 | 14 |
| 8 | Montevideo | 10 | 4 | 6 | 854 | 859 | 14 |
| 9 | Larre Borges | 10 | 4 | 6 | 792 | 816 | 14 |
| 10 | Marne | 10 | 3 | 7 | 732 | 801 | 13 |
| 11 | Olivol Mundial | 10 | 3 | 7 | 666 | 758 | 13 |
| 12 | Lagomar | 9 | 3 | 6 | 656 | 720 | 12 |
| 13 | Albatros | 10 | 2 | 8 | 767 | 893 | 12 |
| 14 | Colon | 10 | 1 | 9 | 685 | 847 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olivol Mundial | Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Tabare | 58-74 L | 66-69 L |
| Stockolmo | 54-72 L | 86-74 W |
| Marne | 68-74 L | 88-80 W |
| Colon | 64-74 L | 89-67 W |
| Albatros | 70-66 W | 101-75 W |
| Larre Borges | 61-85 L | 96-77 W |
| Lagomar | 82-93 L | 70-67 W |
| Montevideo | 76-72 W | 103-113 L |
| Urupan de Pando | 54-82 L | 89-81 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 7 L | 7 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpia (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olivol Mundial
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
58-74 | L |
| 15/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-72 | L |
| 12/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-74 | L |
| 08/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-74 | L |
| 05/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-66 | W |
| 01/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-85 | L |
| 24/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-93 | L |
| 18/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-72 | W |
| 11/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-82 | L |
| 06/06 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-66 | W |
Olimpia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-59 | W |
| 15/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-69 | L |
| 10/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-74 | W |
| 07/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
88-80 | W |
| 04/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-67 | W |
| 30/06 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
101-75 | W |
| 24/06 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
96-77 | W |
| 19/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-67 | W |
| 12/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
103-113 | L |
| 05/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olivol Mundial vs Olimpia?
Our model gives 65% to Olimpia.
How many points are expected in Olivol Mundial vs Olimpia?
The model estimates 151.2 total points (Olivol Mundial 72.9 · Olimpia 78.3).