Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 22/07, 01:15
Prediction: Trouville vs Tabare
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.5Total
Trouville81.5
Tabare72.9
1X2
Trouville
Tabare
Recent form · 10 last
Trouville
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Tabare
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trouville 1601 · Tabare 1571
| Trouville | Tabare | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
154.5 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points154.5Trouville 81.5 · Tabare 72.9
Match keys
- Trouville is a clear favourite (73% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trouville | Tabare | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.2 / 69.4 | 82.1 / 72.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.6 / 67 | 75.8 / 68.2 |
| Est. result | 82 | 73 |
Est. total154.5
Line O/U153.5
Diff.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 10 | 9 | 1 | 862 | 694 | 19 |
| 2 | Tabare | 10 | 8 | 2 | 821 | 721 | 18 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 10 | 8 | 2 | 857 | 762 | 18 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 10 | 7 | 3 | 767 | 673 | 17 |
| 5 | Verdirrojo | 10 | 6 | 4 | 766 | 727 | 16 |
| 6 | Sayago | 10 | 6 | 4 | 804 | 770 | 16 |
| 7 | Urupan de Pando | 9 | 5 | 4 | 727 | 715 | 14 |
| 8 | Montevideo | 10 | 4 | 6 | 854 | 859 | 14 |
| 9 | Larre Borges | 10 | 4 | 6 | 792 | 816 | 14 |
| 10 | Marne | 10 | 3 | 7 | 732 | 801 | 13 |
| 11 | Olivol Mundial | 10 | 3 | 7 | 666 | 758 | 13 |
| 12 | Lagomar | 9 | 3 | 6 | 656 | 720 | 12 |
| 13 | Albatros | 10 | 2 | 8 | 767 | 893 | 12 |
| 14 | Colon | 10 | 1 | 9 | 685 | 847 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trouville | Tabare |
|---|---|---|
| Stockolmo | 54-50 W | 80-70 W |
| Marne | 73-74 L | 72-67 W |
| Colon | 81-64 W | 98-53 W |
| Albatros | 103-67 W | 97-79 W |
| Larre Borges | 97-80 W | 85-87 L |
| Lagomar | 111-60 W | 73-82 L |
| Montevideo | 96-91 W | 89-79 W |
| Verdirrojo | 76-58 W | 84-80 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-50 | W |
| 15/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-74 | L |
| 11/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-64 | W |
| 08/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
103-67 | W |
| 05/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-80 | W |
| 30/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
111-60 | W |
| 24/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
96-91 | W |
| 18/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-71 | W |
| 12/06 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
93-79 | W |
| 05/06 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-58 | W |
Tabare
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-58 | W |
| 15/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-66 | W |
| 10/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-80 | W |
| 07/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-70 | W |
| 04/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-67 | W |
| 30/06 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
98-53 | W |
| 24/06 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-79 | W |
| 19/06 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-87 | L |
| 12/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-82 | L |
| 06/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trouville vs Tabare?
Our model gives 73% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Trouville vs Tabare?
The model estimates 154.5 total points (Trouville 81.5 · Tabare 72.9).