Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 22/07, 01:15
Prediction: Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.5Total
Verdirrojo81.5
Larre Borges75
1X2
Verdirrojo
Larre Borges
Recent form · 10 last
Verdirrojo
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Larre Borges
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verdirrojo
4–2
Larre Borges
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verdirrojo 1532 · Larre Borges 1469
| Verdirrojo | Larre Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.5 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.5Verdirrojo 81.5 · Larre Borges 75
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Verdirrojo (rating 1532 vs 1469).
- Verdirrojo is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours Verdirrojo: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Verdirrojo | Larre Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.6 / 72.7 | 79.2 / 81.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.6 / 73 | 74.6 / 83 |
| Est. result | 82 | 75 |
Est. total156.5
Line O/U154.5
Diff.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verdirrojo 4–0–2 Larre Borges
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Larre Borges | 84-87 | Verdirrojo |
| 18/06/25 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Larre Borges | 88-79 | Verdirrojo |
| 30/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Verdirrojo | 92-67 | Larre Borges |
| 18/05/24 Uruguay Metro League | Larre Borges | 90-97 | Verdirrojo |
| 06/08/21 Uruguay Metro League | Verdirrojo | 73-67 | Larre Borges |
| 07/10/20 Uruguay Metro League | Verdirrojo | 68-95 | Larre Borges |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 10 | 9 | 1 | 862 | 694 | 19 |
| 2 | Tabare | 10 | 8 | 2 | 821 | 721 | 18 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 10 | 8 | 2 | 857 | 762 | 18 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 10 | 7 | 3 | 767 | 673 | 17 |
| 5 | Verdirrojo | 10 | 6 | 4 | 766 | 727 | 16 |
| 6 | Sayago | 10 | 6 | 4 | 804 | 770 | 16 |
| 7 | Urupan de Pando | 9 | 5 | 4 | 727 | 715 | 14 |
| 8 | Montevideo | 10 | 4 | 6 | 854 | 859 | 14 |
| 9 | Larre Borges | 10 | 4 | 6 | 792 | 816 | 14 |
| 10 | Marne | 10 | 3 | 7 | 732 | 801 | 13 |
| 11 | Olivol Mundial | 10 | 3 | 7 | 666 | 758 | 13 |
| 12 | Lagomar | 9 | 3 | 6 | 656 | 720 | 12 |
| 13 | Albatros | 10 | 2 | 8 | 767 | 893 | 12 |
| 14 | Colon | 10 | 1 | 9 | 685 | 847 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Verdirrojo | Larre Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 59-69 L | 77-96 L |
| Lagomar | 74-65 W | 77-63 W |
| Tabare | 80-84 L | 87-85 W |
| Montevideo | 92-65 W | 85-103 L |
| Stockolmo | 63-82 L | 79-88 L |
| Urupan de Pando | 90-64 W | 71-75 L |
| Marne | 77-70 W | 91-71 W |
| Sayago | 82-68 W | 60-77 L |
| Trouville | 58-76 L | 80-97 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Larre Borges (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verdirrojo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
59-69 | L |
| 15/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-65 | W |
| 10/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-84 | L |
| 07/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-65 | W |
| 04/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
63-82 | L |
| 01/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-64 | W |
| 25/06 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-70 | W |
| 18/06 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-68 | W |
| 11/06 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
58-76 | L |
Larre Borges
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-63 | W |
| 14/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-103 | L |
| 11/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-75 | L |
| 08/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
60-77 | L |
| 05/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-97 | L |
| 01/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-61 | W |
| 24/06 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-96 | L |
| 19/06 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-85 | W |
| 12/06 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-88 | L |
| 07/06 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges?
Our model gives 68% to Verdirrojo.
How many points are expected in Verdirrojo vs Larre Borges?
The model estimates 156.5 total points (Verdirrojo 81.5 · Larre Borges 75).