Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 15/07, 02:00
Prediction: Colegio Los Leones (W) vs Sportiva Italiana (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
142.3Total
Colegio Los Leones (W)75.2
Sportiva Italiana (W)67.1
1X2
Colegio Los Leones (W)
Sportiva Italiana (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Colegio Los Leones (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Sportiva Italiana (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colegio Los Leones (W)
3–3
Sportiva Italiana (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colegio Los Leones (W) 1569 · Sportiva Italiana (W) 1568
| Colegio Los Leones (W) | Sportiva Italiana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
142.3 points · Bet365 line 132.5 · +9.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points142.3Colegio Los Leones (W) 75.2 · Sportiva Italiana (W) 67.1
Match keys
- Colegio Los Leones (W) is a clear favourite (72% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Colegio Los Leones (W) | Sportiva Italiana (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.5 / 55.2 | 66.2 / 60.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69 / 56.2 | 60.6 / 63.2 |
| Est. result | 75 | 67 |
Est. total142.3
Line O/U132.5
Diff.9.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colegio Los Leones (W) 3–0–3 Sportiva Italiana (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 37-65 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
| 12/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 72-65 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
| 09/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 69-63 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 08/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 60-62 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 01/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 61-78 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 03/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 50-60 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colegio Los Leones (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
65-37 | W |
| 12/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
65-72 | L |
| 09/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-63 | W |
| 08/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
60-62 | L |
| 04/07 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
86-47 | W |
| 01/07 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
84-60 | W |
| 27/06 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
81-61 | W |
| 13/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
113-37 | W |
| 08/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
91-35 | W |
| 01/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-78 | L |
Sportiva Italiana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
37-65 | L |
| 12/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
72-65 | W |
| 09/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-69 | L |
| 08/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
62-60 | W |
| 27/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-57 | W |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-71 | W |
| 20/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-55 | W |
| 13/06 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-59 | W |
| 06/06 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-43 | W |
| 01/06 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
78-61 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colegio Los Leones (W) vs Sportiva Italiana (W)?
Our model gives 72% to Colegio Los Leones (W).
How many points are expected in Colegio Los Leones (W) vs Sportiva Italiana (W)?
The model estimates 142.3 total points (Colegio Los Leones (W) 75.2 · Sportiva Italiana (W) 67.1).