Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 13/07, 00:00
Prediction: Sportiva Italiana (W) vs Colegio Los Leones (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
144.2Total
Sportiva Italiana (W)71.7
Colegio Los Leones (W)72.4
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Sportiva Italiana (W)
Colegio Los Leones (W)
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Sportiva Italiana (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Colegio Los Leones (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportiva Italiana (W)
4–2
Colegio Los Leones (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportiva Italiana (W) 1580 · Colegio Los Leones (W) 1550
| Sportiva Italiana (W) | Colegio Los Leones (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
144.2 points · Bet365 line 132.5 · +11.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points144.2Sportiva Italiana (W) 71.7 · Colegio Los Leones (W) 72.4
Match keys
- H2H favours Sportiva Italiana (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sportiva Italiana (W) | Colegio Los Leones (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 68.5 / 61.7 | 79.5 / 59.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70.2 / 64.4 | 72.8 / 60.8 |
| Est. result | 72 | 72 |
Est. total144.2
Line O/U132.5
Diff.11.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportiva Italiana (W) 4–0–2 Colegio Los Leones (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 72-65 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
| 09/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 69-63 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 08/07/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 60-62 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 01/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Colegio Los Leones (W) | 61-78 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 03/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 50-60 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
| 15/11/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 76-69 | Colegio Los Leones (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportiva Italiana (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
72-65 | W |
| 09/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-69 | L |
| 08/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
62-60 | W |
| 27/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-57 | W |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-71 | W |
| 20/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-55 | W |
| 13/06 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-59 | W |
| 06/06 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-43 | W |
| 01/06 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
78-61 | W |
| 30/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
60-77 | L |
Colegio Los Leones (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
65-72 | L |
| 09/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-63 | W |
| 08/07 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
60-62 | L |
| 04/07 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
86-47 | W |
| 01/07 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
84-60 | W |
| 27/06 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
81-61 | W |
| 13/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
113-37 | W |
| 08/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
91-35 | W |
| 01/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-78 | L |
| 30/05 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportiva Italiana (W) vs Colegio Los Leones (W)?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sportiva Italiana (W) 48% · Colegio Los Leones (W) 52%).
How many points are expected in Sportiva Italiana (W) vs Colegio Los Leones (W)?
The model estimates 144.2 total points (Sportiva Italiana (W) 71.7 · Colegio Los Leones (W) 72.4).