Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 18/07, 01:15
Prediction: Tabare vs Olivol Mundial
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.8Total
Tabare80.1
Olivol Mundial69.8
1X2
Tabare
Olivol Mundial
Markets
Under 153 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Tabare
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Olivol Mundial
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tabare
4–2
Olivol Mundial
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points149.8Tabare 80.1 · Olivol Mundial 69.8
Over / Under 153Under · 65%recent trend · ~146.2 pts · strength 7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabare (rating 1569 vs 1448).
- Tabare is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Tabare: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tabare | Olivol Mundial | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.8 / 73.8 | 68 / 74.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.6 / 67.2 | 63.4 / 74.2 |
| Est. result | 80 | 70 |
Est. total149.8
Line O/U153
Diff.3.2
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabare 4–0–2 Olivol Mundial
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Olivol Mundial | 68-70 | Tabare |
| 09/07/24 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Tabare | 91-84 | Olivol Mundial |
| 30/06/23 Uruguay Metro League | Olivol Mundial | 72-75 | Tabare |
| 23/07/22 Uruguay Metro League | Tabare | 86-67 | Olivol Mundial |
| 04/09/20 Uruguay Metro League | Olivol Mundial | 87-75 | Tabare |
| 10/08/18 Uruguay Metro League | Olivol Mundial | 79-73 | Tabare |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 9 | 8 | 1 | 808 | 644 | 17 |
| 2 | Tabare | 9 | 7 | 2 | 747 | 663 | 16 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 788 | 703 | 16 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 717 | 619 | 16 |
| 5 | Verdirrojo | 9 | 6 | 3 | 707 | 658 | 15 |
| 6 | Sayago | 9 | 5 | 4 | 727 | 697 | 14 |
| 7 | Urupan de Pando | 8 | 4 | 4 | 636 | 639 | 12 |
| 8 | Larre Borges | 9 | 3 | 6 | 715 | 753 | 12 |
| 9 | Olivol Mundial | 9 | 3 | 6 | 608 | 684 | 12 |
| 10 | Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 6 | 769 | 789 | 12 |
| 11 | Marne | 9 | 3 | 6 | 659 | 724 | 12 |
| 12 | Lagomar | 8 | 3 | 5 | 593 | 643 | 11 |
| 13 | Albatros | 9 | 2 | 7 | 697 | 808 | 11 |
| 14 | Colon | 9 | 1 | 8 | 609 | 756 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tabare | Olivol Mundial |
|---|---|---|
| Stockolmo | 80-70 W | 54-72 L |
| Marne | 72-67 W | 68-74 L |
| Colon | 98-53 W | 64-74 L |
| Albatros | 97-79 W | 70-66 W |
| Larre Borges | 85-87 L | 61-85 L |
| Lagomar | 73-82 L | 82-93 L |
| Montevideo | 89-79 W | 76-72 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Tabare (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tabare
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-66 | W |
| 10/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-80 | W |
| 07/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-70 | W |
| 04/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-67 | W |
| 30/06 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
98-53 | W |
| 24/06 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-79 | W |
| 19/06 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-87 | L |
| 12/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-82 | L |
| 06/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
89-79 | W |
| 28/08 | Club Atletico Yale Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-75 | W |
Olivol Mundial
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-72 | L |
| 12/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-74 | L |
| 08/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-74 | L |
| 05/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-66 | W |
| 01/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
61-85 | L |
| 24/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-93 | L |
| 18/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-72 | W |
| 11/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-82 | L |
| 06/06 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-66 | W |
| 21/11 | Reducto Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso |
72-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tabare vs Olivol Mundial?
Our model gives 77% to Tabare.
How many points are expected in Tabare vs Olivol Mundial?
The model estimates 149.8 total points (Tabare 80.1 · Olivol Mundial 69.8).
Over or under 153 points?
Recent history points to under 153 points (65%).

