Basketball · Poland PLK · 17/10, 17:30

Prediction: Start Lublin vs Arka Gdynia

Team pages: Start Lublin · Arka Gdynia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.5Total

Start Lublin85.1

Arka Gdynia85.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Start Lublin Arka Gdynia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Start Lublin 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Arka Gdynia 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Start Lublin 3–3 Arka Gdynia (6 last)

Start Lublin80-101Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia75-87Start Lublin
Arka Gdynia102-92Start Lublin
Start Lublin96-72Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia90-82Start Lublin
Start Lublin98-88Arka Gdynia

Model analysis

Estimated points170.5Start Lublin 85.1 · Arka Gdynia 85.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Start Lublin	Arka Gdynia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.1 / 93	83.7 / 81.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.4 / 93.8	89.4 / 84.8
Est. result	85	85

Est. total170.5

Line O/U169.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.88

Under 169.51.91

Diff.: 1.5 · Est. total: 171

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.54 → 2.54	Pinn 2.54
2	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	2
17:47 +67’	2.54	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Start Lublin 3–0–3 Arka Gdynia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	80-101	Arka Gdynia
03/01/26 Poland PLK	Arka Gdynia	75-87	Start Lublin
06/03/25 Poland PLK	Arka Gdynia	102-92	Start Lublin
31/10/24 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	96-72	Arka Gdynia
13/03/24 Poland PLK	Arka Gdynia	90-82	Start Lublin
16/11/23 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	98-88	Arka Gdynia

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dziki Warszawa	2	2	0	199	140	4
2	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	191	152	4
3	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	2	2	0	176	161	4
4	Anwil Wloclawek	2	2	0	167	165	4
5	Astoria Bydgoszcz	2	1	1	179	170	3
6	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	199	192	3
7	Gornik Walbrzych	2	1	1	168	153	3
8	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	152	164	3
9	Gtk Gliwice	2	1	1	153	163	3
10	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	2	1	1	173	167	3
11	Stal Ostrow	2	1	1	149	160	3
12	Legia Warszawa	2	1	1	166	180	3
13	Czarni Slupsk	2	0	2	154	158	2
14	Polski Cukier Torun	2	0	2	168	191	2
15	Start Lublin	2	0	2	156	181	2
16	Trefl Sopot	2	0	2	145	198	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Start Lublin	Arka Gdynia
Dziki Warszawa	77-97 L	78-92 L
Trefl Sopot	97-103 L	96-82 W
Slask Wroclaw	91-98 L	95-70 W
Zielona Gora	73-76 L	89-96 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Arka Gdynia (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Start Lublin

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	77-97	L
03/10	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	79-84	L
06/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	100-105	L
03/05	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	80-101	L
26/04	Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK	86-82	W
18/04	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-81	W
11/04	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	97-103	L
04/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	72-103	L
29/03	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	91-98	L
19/03	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	73-76	L

Arka Gdynia

WWWLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	96-82	W
04/10	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	95-70	W
12/06	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	78-92	L
09/06	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	89-84	W
31/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	89-96	L
28/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	83-85	L
26/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	64-90	L
23/05	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	71-54	W
20/05	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	86-84	W
18/05	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	86-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Start Lublin vs Arka Gdynia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Start Lublin 49% · Arka Gdynia 51%).

How many points are expected in Start Lublin vs Arka Gdynia?

The model estimates 170.5 total points (Start Lublin 85.1 · Arka Gdynia 85.4).