Basketball · Poland PLK · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: Legia Warszawa vs Stal Ostrow

Team pages: Legia Warszawa · Stal Ostrow

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.6Total

Legia Warszawa86.7

Stal Ostrow75.9

1X2

78% 22%

Legia Warszawa Stal Ostrow

Recent form · 10 last

Legia Warszawa 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Stal Ostrow 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Legia Warszawa 5–1 Stal Ostrow (6 last)

Stal Ostrow75-83Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa98-89Stal Ostrow
Legia Warszawa80-79Stal Ostrow
Stal Ostrow75-90Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa94-71Stal Ostrow
Legia Warszawa88-96Stal Ostrow

Model analysis

Estimated points162.6Legia Warszawa 86.7 · Stal Ostrow 75.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warszawa (rating 1597 vs 1471).
Legia Warszawa is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Legia Warszawa: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Legia Warszawa	Stal Ostrow
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.5 / 78.5	80 / 82.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.2 / 79.6	81.6 / 82.4
Est. result	87	76

Est. total162.6

Line O/U165

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1651.88

Under 1651.90

Diff.: 4.1 · Est. total: 160.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.23 → 1.23	Pinn 1.23
2	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
16:09 +48’	1.23	3.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Legia Warszawa 5–0–1 Stal Ostrow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	75-83	Legia Warszawa
25/10/25 Poland PLK	Legia Warszawa	98-89	Stal Ostrow
23/03/25 Poland PLK	Legia Warszawa	80-79	Stal Ostrow
16/11/24 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	75-90	Legia Warszawa
18/02/24 Poland Cup	Legia Warszawa	94-71	Stal Ostrow
04/02/24 Poland PLK	Legia Warszawa	88-96	Stal Ostrow

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	3	3	0	273	241	6
2	Gornik Walbrzych	3	2	1	242	224	5
3	Anwil Wloclawek	3	2	1	239	238	5
4	Legia Warszawa	3	2	1	239	252	5
5	Zielona Gora	3	2	1	283	268	5
6	Dziki Warszawa	3	2	1	270	214	5
7	Stal Ostrow	3	2	1	236	244	5
8	Arka Gdynia	3	2	1	264	228	5
9	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	3	2	1	264	248	5
10	Polski Cukier Torun	3	1	2	278	287	4
11	Gtk Gliwice	3	1	2	229	247	4
12	Astoria Bydgoszcz	3	1	2	275	280	4
13	Start Lublin	3	1	2	232	254	4
14	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	232	261	4
15	Czarni Slupsk	3	0	3	238	245	3
16	Trefl Sopot	3	0	3	226	289	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Legia Warszawa	Stal Ostrow
Anwil Wloclawek	73-72 W	81-90 L
Zielona Gora	87-104 L	75-82 L
Czarni Slupsk	79-76 W	87-84 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Legia Warszawa

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	73-72	W
09/10	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	87-104	L
02/10	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	79-76	W
21/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	78-70	W
19/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	74-76	L
17/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	84-80	W
15/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	73-85	L
13/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	79-63	W
10/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	104-82	W
08/06	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	74-77	L

Stal Ostrow

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	87-84	W
12/10	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	65-81	L
03/10	Start Lublin Poland PLK	84-79	W
08/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	86-94	L
06/05	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-74	W
02/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	86-88	L
25/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	73-83	L
17/04	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	77-73	W
13/04	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	75-82	L
06/04	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	81-90	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Legia Warszawa vs Stal Ostrow?

Our model gives 78% to Legia Warszawa.

How many points are expected in Legia Warszawa vs Stal Ostrow?

The model estimates 162.6 total points (Legia Warszawa 86.7 · Stal Ostrow 75.9).