Basketball · Poland PLK · 01/11, 15:30

Prediction: Start Lublin vs MKS Dabrowa Gornicza

Team pages: Start Lublin · MKS Dabrowa Gornicza

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174Total

Start Lublin86.6

MKS Dabrowa Gornicza87.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Start Lublin MKS Dabrowa Gornicza

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Start Lublin 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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MKS Dabrowa Gornicza 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Start Lublin 4–2 MKS Dabrowa Gornicza (6 last)

MKS Dabrowa Gornicza105-100Start Lublin
Start Lublin81-78MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
MKS Dabrowa Gornicza82-101Start Lublin
Start Lublin95-81MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
Start Lublin114-102MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
MKS Dabrowa Gornicza112-87Start Lublin

Model analysis

Estimated points174Start Lublin 86.6 · MKS Dabrowa Gornicza 87.3

Match keys

H2H favours Start Lublin: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Start Lublin	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.7 / 89.9	87 / 87.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 85.8	89.4 / 84.2
Est. result	87	87

Est. total174

Line O/U171

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1711.88

Under 1711.91

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 172.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.22 → 2.22	Pinn 2.22
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	2
15:47 +19’	2.22	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Start Lublin 4–0–2 MKS Dabrowa Gornicza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Poland PLK	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	105-100	Start Lublin
10/01/26 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	81-78	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
29/03/25 Poland PLK	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	82-101	Start Lublin
01/12/24 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	95-81	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
28/01/24 Poland PLK	Start Lublin	114-102	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
12/10/23 Poland PLK	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	112-87	Start Lublin

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	4	4	0	361	323	8
2	Zielona Gora	4	3	1	361	345	7
3	Gornik Walbrzych	4	3	1	337	312	7
4	Dziki Warszawa	4	3	1	361	295	7
5	Legia Warszawa	4	3	1	323	326	7
6	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	4	3	1	334	302	7
7	Arka Gdynia	4	2	2	352	323	6
8	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	2	332	338	6
9	Gtk Gliwice	4	2	2	319	316	6
10	Anwil Wloclawek	4	2	2	316	316	6
11	Stal Ostrow	4	2	2	310	328	6
12	Polski Cukier Torun	4	1	3	347	377	5
13	Astoria Bydgoszcz	4	1	3	352	380	5
14	Start Lublin	4	1	3	286	324	5
15	Czarni Slupsk	4	0	4	319	336	4
16	Trefl Sopot	4	0	4	308	377	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Start Lublin	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza
Stal Ostrow	79-84 L	94-86 W
Gtk Gliwice	86-82 W	89-78 W
Trefl Sopot	97-103 L	88-82 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MKS Dabrowa Gornicza (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Start Lublin

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin Poland PLK	54-70	L
17/10	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	76-73	W
11/10	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	77-97	L
03/10	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	79-84	L
06/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	100-105	L
03/05	Arka Gdynia Poland PLK	80-101	L
26/04	Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK	86-82	W
18/04	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-81	W
11/04	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	97-103	L
04/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	72-103	L

MKS Dabrowa Gornicza

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	88-82	W
18/10	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	97-80	W
10/10	Polski Cukier Torun Poland PLK	87-83	W
04/10	Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK	89-78	W
21/05	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	86-98	L
19/05	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	92-91	W
16/05	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	84-89	L
14/05	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	66-100	L
10/05	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	87-84	W
08/05	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	94-86	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Start Lublin vs MKS Dabrowa Gornicza?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Start Lublin 48% · MKS Dabrowa Gornicza 52%).

How many points are expected in Start Lublin vs MKS Dabrowa Gornicza?

The model estimates 174 total points (Start Lublin 86.6 · MKS Dabrowa Gornicza 87.3).