Basketball · Poland PLK · 08/11, 17:30

Prediction: Stal Ostrow vs Zielona Gora

Team pages: Stal Ostrow · Zielona Gora

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.7Total

Stal Ostrow82.2

Zielona Gora81.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

52% 48%

Stal Ostrow Zielona Gora

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Ostrow 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLWLL

Zielona Gora 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Stal Ostrow 3–3 Zielona Gora (6 last)

Stal Ostrow75-82Zielona Gora
Zielona Gora98-84Stal Ostrow
Zielona Gora92-87Stal Ostrow
Stal Ostrow84-70Zielona Gora
Stal Ostrow126-60Zielona Gora
Zielona Gora87-92Stal Ostrow

Model analysis

Estimated points163.7Stal Ostrow 82.2 · Zielona Gora 81.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Stal Ostrow	Zielona Gora
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80 / 82.3	80.6 / 82
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.4 / 82.2	86.4 / 86.4
Est. result	82	82

Est. total163.7

Line O/U164.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 164.51.88

Under 164.51.91

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 162.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98
2	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
17:48 +26’	1.98	1.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Ostrow 3–0–3 Zielona Gora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	75-82	Zielona Gora
13/12/25 Poland PLK	Zielona Gora	98-84	Stal Ostrow
07/05/25 Poland PLK	Zielona Gora	92-87	Stal Ostrow
17/01/25 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	84-70	Zielona Gora
27/04/24 Poland PLK	Stal Ostrow	126-60	Zielona Gora
29/12/23 Poland PLK	Zielona Gora	87-92	Stal Ostrow

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	5	5	0	457	412	10
2	Dziki Warszawa	5	4	1	453	372	9
3	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	5	4	1	429	388	9
4	Zielona Gora	5	3	2	432	432	8
5	Anwil Wloclawek	5	3	2	399	398	8
6	Arka Gdynia	5	3	2	436	395	8
7	Gornik Walbrzych	5	3	2	423	407	8
8	Legia Warszawa	5	3	2	400	418	8
9	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	2	428	422	8
10	Gtk Gliwice	5	2	3	403	412	7
11	Polski Cukier Torun	5	2	3	434	448	7
12	Astoria Bydgoszcz	5	2	3	442	467	7
13	Stal Ostrow	5	2	3	392	411	7
14	Start Lublin	5	1	4	375	420	6
15	Czarni Slupsk	5	0	5	391	420	5
16	Trefl Sopot	5	0	5	395	467	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Ostrow	Zielona Gora
Anwil Wloclawek	82-83 L	78-77 W
Legia Warszawa	74-84 L	104-87 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zielona Gora (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Ostrow

WLLWLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	82-83	L
25/10	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	74-84	L
19/10	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	87-84	W
12/10	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	65-81	L
03/10	Start Lublin Poland PLK	84-79	W
08/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	86-94	L
06/05	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	86-74	W
02/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	86-88	L
25/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	73-83	L
17/04	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	77-73	W

Zielona Gora

LWLWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Polski Cukier Torun Poland PLK	71-87	L
24/10	Anwil Wloclawek Poland PLK	78-77	W
17/10	Gtk Gliwice Poland PLK	84-76	W
09/10	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	104-87	W
03/10	Astoria Bydgoszcz Poland PLK	95-105	L
21/06	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	70-78	L
19/06	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	76-74	W
17/06	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	80-84	L
15/06	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	85-73	W
13/06	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	63-79	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Ostrow vs Zielona Gora?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Stal Ostrow 52% · Zielona Gora 48%).

How many points are expected in Stal Ostrow vs Zielona Gora?

The model estimates 163.7 total points (Stal Ostrow 82.2 · Zielona Gora 81.5).