Basketball · Poland PLK · 13/11, 20:15

Prediction: Anwil Wloclawek vs Arka Gdynia

Team pages: Anwil Wloclawek · Arka Gdynia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.5Total

Anwil Wloclawek83.1

Arka Gdynia83.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Anwil Wloclawek Arka Gdynia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Anwil Wloclawek 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Arka Gdynia 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Anwil Wloclawek 4–2 Arka Gdynia (6 last)

Arka Gdynia82-97Anwil Wloclawek
Anwil Wloclawek98-108Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia85-97Anwil Wloclawek
Anwil Wloclawek88-98Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia85-89Anwil Wloclawek
Anwil Wloclawek97-66Arka Gdynia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anwil Wloclawek 1512 · Arka Gdynia 1518

	Anwil Wloclawek	Arka Gdynia
Our model	62%	38%
Market	45%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 166.5 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.5Anwil Wloclawek 83.1 · Arka Gdynia 83.4

Match keys

H2H favours Anwil Wloclawek: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Anwil Wloclawek	Arka Gdynia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.6 / 82.4	84.2 / 81.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 81.4	81.6 / 77
Est. result	83	83

Est. total166.5

Line O/U162.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.05

21.69

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.83

2 (-2)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 163.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.19 ★
2	1.69 → 1.69	Bet365 1.69

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	2
12:15 +32’	2.05	1.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:49 +5’	2.04	1.76
21:44 +5’	2.19▲	1.66▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anwil Wloclawek 4–0–2 Arka Gdynia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Poland PLK	Arka Gdynia	82-97	Anwil Wloclawek
10/10/25 Poland PLK	Anwil Wloclawek	98-108	Arka Gdynia
21/04/25 Poland PLK	Arka Gdynia	85-97	Anwil Wloclawek
23/12/24 Poland PLK	Anwil Wloclawek	88-98	Arka Gdynia
02/03/24 Poland PLK	Arka Gdynia	85-89	Anwil Wloclawek
20/12/23 Poland PLK	Anwil Wloclawek	97-66	Arka Gdynia

Standings · Poland PLK

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza	6	6	0	550	497	12
2	Dziki Warszawa	6	5	1	549	447	11
3	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	6	5	1	534	483	11
4	Arka Gdynia	6	4	2	503	455	10
5	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	2	509	498	10
6	Zielona Gora	6	4	2	506	501	10
7	Anwil Wloclawek	6	3	3	474	494	9
8	Gtk Gliwice	6	3	3	487	489	9
9	Legia Warszawa	6	3	3	460	485	9
10	Gornik Walbrzych	6	3	3	508	500	9
11	Astoria Bydgoszcz	6	3	3	512	529	9
12	Polski Cukier Torun	6	2	4	510	529	8
13	Stal Ostrow	6	2	4	461	485	8
14	Start Lublin	6	1	5	437	490	7
15	Czarni Slupsk	6	0	6	486	525	6
16	Trefl Sopot	6	0	6	472	551	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anwil Wloclawek	Arka Gdynia
Dziki Warszawa	75-96 L	78-92 L
Zielona Gora	77-78 L	89-96 L
Legia Warszawa	72-73 L	67-60 W
Czarni Slupsk	79-78 W	84-72 W
Gornik Walbrzych	88-87 W	88-95 L
Trefl Sopot	94-79 W	96-82 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anwil Wloclawek

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	75-96	L
30/10	Stal Ostrow Poland PLK	83-82	W
24/10	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	77-78	L
16/10	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	72-73	L
11/10	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	79-78	W
05/10	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	88-87	W
10/05	MKS Dabrowa Gornicza Poland PLK	84-87	L
08/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	71-86	L
06/05	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	94-79	W
30/04	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	73-78	L

Arka Gdynia

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Legia Warszawa Poland PLK	67-60	W
31/10	Czarni Slupsk Poland PLK	84-72	W
25/10	Gornik Walbrzych Poland PLK	88-95	L
17/10	Start Lublin Poland PLK	73-76	L
11/10	Trefl Sopot Poland PLK	96-82	W
04/10	Slask Wroclaw Poland PLK	95-70	W
12/06	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	78-92	L
09/06	Dziki Warszawa Poland PLK	89-84	W
31/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	89-96	L
28/05	Zielona Gora Poland PLK	83-85	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anwil Wloclawek vs Arka Gdynia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Anwil Wloclawek 49% · Arka Gdynia 51%).

How many points are expected in Anwil Wloclawek vs Arka Gdynia?

The model estimates 166.5 total points (Anwil Wloclawek 83.1 · Arka Gdynia 83.4).