Basketball · Uganda NBL · 11/07, 17:00
Prediction: City Oilers vs KCCA Men
Prediction summary
Estimated points
141.9Total
City Oilers76.6
KCCA Men65.4
1X2
City Oilers
KCCA Men
Recent form · 10 last
City Oilers
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
KCCA Men
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
City Oilers
5–1
KCCA Men
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · City Oilers 1618 · KCCA Men 1455
| City Oilers | KCCA Men | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 19% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
141.9 points · Bet365 line 129.5 · +12.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points141.9City Oilers 76.6 · KCCA Men 65.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours City Oilers (rating 1618 vs 1455).
- City Oilers is a clear favourite (89% market).
- H2H favours City Oilers: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| City Oilers | KCCA Men | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73 / 59.2 | 62.8 / 64.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 67.8 / 56.6 | 59.4 / 65.2 |
| Est. result | 77 | 65 |
Est. total141.9
Line O/U129.5
Diff.12.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · City Oilers 5–0–1 KCCA Men
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Uganda NBL | City Oilers | 74-55 | KCCA Men |
| 15/03/26 Uganda NBL | KCCA Men | 60-71 | City Oilers |
| 05/07/25 Uganda NBL | City Oilers | 71-62 | KCCA Men |
| 21/04/25 Uganda NBL | KCCA Men | 68-57 | City Oilers |
| 31/05/24 Uganda NBL | KCCA Men | 68-80 | City Oilers |
| 15/03/24 Uganda NBL | City Oilers | 85-73 | KCCA Men |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | City Oilers | KCCA Men |
|---|---|---|
| Sommet BC | 67-61 W | 52-67 L |
| UPDF Tomahawks | 78-60 W | 89-62 W |
| JKL Dolphins | 85-33 W | 52-56 L |
| JT Jaguars | 59-53 W | 66-67 L |
| Nam Blazers | 50-76 L | 55-79 L |
| Kampala Rockets | 92-63 W | 77-68 W |
| UMU Flames | 68-59 W | 58-54 W |
| UCU Canons | 87-80 W | 58-56 W |
| Victoria Crocs | 74-52 W | 58-64 L |
| Rez Life | 70-55 W | 63-74 L |
| Record vs common | 9 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: City Oilers (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
City Oilers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Sommet BC Uganda NBL |
67-61 | W |
| 03/06 | UPDF Tomahawks Uganda NBL |
78-60 | W |
| 31/05 | JKL Dolphins Uganda NBL |
85-33 | W |
| 24/05 | JT Jaguars Uganda NBL |
59-53 | W |
| 22/05 | Nam Blazers Uganda NBL |
50-76 | L |
| 17/05 | Kampala Rockets Uganda NBL |
92-63 | W |
| 16/05 | UMU Flames Uganda NBL |
68-59 | W |
| 08/05 | UCU Canons Uganda NBL |
87-80 | W |
| 06/05 | Victoria Crocs Uganda NBL |
74-52 | W |
| 26/04 | Rez Life Uganda NBL |
70-55 | W |
KCCA Men
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Rez Life Uganda NBL |
63-74 | L |
| 31/05 | Sommet BC Uganda NBL |
52-67 | L |
| 29/05 | Victoria Crocs Uganda NBL |
58-64 | L |
| 24/05 | UMU Flames Uganda NBL |
58-54 | W |
| 23/05 | JT Jaguars Uganda NBL |
66-67 | L |
| 13/05 | Kampala Rockets Uganda NBL |
77-68 | W |
| 10/05 | UCU Canons Uganda NBL |
58-56 | W |
| 06/05 | UPDF Tomahawks Uganda NBL |
89-62 | W |
| 02/05 | JKL Dolphins Uganda NBL |
52-56 | L |
| 29/04 | Nam Blazers Uganda NBL |
55-79 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in City Oilers vs KCCA Men?
Our model gives 89% to City Oilers.
How many points are expected in City Oilers vs KCCA Men?
The model estimates 141.9 total points (City Oilers 76.6 · KCCA Men 65.4).