Basketball · Uganda NBL · 15/07, 20:00
Prediction: KCCA Men vs City Oilers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
141.1Total
KCCA Men64.1
City Oilers76.9
1X2
KCCA Men
City Oilers
Recent form · 10 last
KCCA Men
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
City Oilers
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KCCA Men
1–5
City Oilers
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KCCA Men 1460 · City Oilers 1605
| KCCA Men | City Oilers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
141.1 points · Bet365 line 125.5 · +15.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points141.1KCCA Men 64.1 · City Oilers 76.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours City Oilers (rating 1460 vs 1605).
- City Oilers is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours City Oilers: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| KCCA Men | City Oilers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 62.3 / 62.6 | 71.8 / 58.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 56.2 / 63.4 | 69.4 / 51.4 |
| Est. result | 64 | 77 |
Est. total141.1
Line O/U125.5
Diff.15.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · KCCA Men 1–0–5 City Oilers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Uganda NBL | City Oilers | 58-50 | KCCA Men |
| 25/04/26 Uganda NBL | City Oilers | 74-55 | KCCA Men |
| 15/03/26 Uganda NBL | KCCA Men | 60-71 | City Oilers |
| 05/07/25 Uganda NBL | City Oilers | 71-62 | KCCA Men |
| 21/04/25 Uganda NBL | KCCA Men | 68-57 | City Oilers |
| 31/05/24 Uganda NBL | KCCA Men | 68-80 | City Oilers |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KCCA Men | City Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Sommet BC | 52-67 L | 67-61 W |
| Victoria Crocs | 58-64 L | 74-52 W |
| UMU Flames | 58-54 W | 68-59 W |
| JT Jaguars | 66-67 L | 59-53 W |
| Kampala Rockets | 77-68 W | 92-63 W |
| UCU Canons | 58-56 W | 87-80 W |
| UPDF Tomahawks | 89-62 W | 78-60 W |
| JKL Dolphins | 52-56 L | 85-33 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 8 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: City Oilers (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KCCA Men
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | City Oilers Uganda NBL |
50-58 | L |
| 06/06 | Rez Life Uganda NBL |
63-74 | L |
| 31/05 | Sommet BC Uganda NBL |
52-67 | L |
| 29/05 | Victoria Crocs Uganda NBL |
58-64 | L |
| 24/05 | UMU Flames Uganda NBL |
58-54 | W |
| 23/05 | JT Jaguars Uganda NBL |
66-67 | L |
| 13/05 | Kampala Rockets Uganda NBL |
77-68 | W |
| 10/05 | UCU Canons Uganda NBL |
58-56 | W |
| 06/05 | UPDF Tomahawks Uganda NBL |
89-62 | W |
| 02/05 | JKL Dolphins Uganda NBL |
52-56 | L |
City Oilers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | KCCA Men Uganda NBL |
58-50 | W |
| 05/06 | Sommet BC Uganda NBL |
67-61 | W |
| 03/06 | UPDF Tomahawks Uganda NBL |
78-60 | W |
| 31/05 | JKL Dolphins Uganda NBL |
85-33 | W |
| 24/05 | JT Jaguars Uganda NBL |
59-53 | W |
| 22/05 | Nam Blazers Uganda NBL |
50-76 | L |
| 17/05 | Kampala Rockets Uganda NBL |
92-63 | W |
| 16/05 | UMU Flames Uganda NBL |
68-59 | W |
| 08/05 | UCU Canons Uganda NBL |
87-80 | W |
| 06/05 | Victoria Crocs Uganda NBL |
74-52 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KCCA Men vs City Oilers?
Our model gives 82% to City Oilers.
How many points are expected in KCCA Men vs City Oilers?
The model estimates 141.1 total points (KCCA Men 64.1 · City Oilers 76.9).